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Half PPR Dynasty Superflex QB Rankings 2025

Updated on 5:52pm UTC 5/5/25

Off-the-cuff opinions from random guys on the internet are not the best foundation for creating Half-PPR Superflex Rankings. You wouldn’t buy a house with a cracked or leaking basement, would you? No! The foundation for anything is critical.

At Draft Sharks, our Dynasty Rankings are based on data—a lot of it. We start with a player's baseline, a weighted average of this year’s projection, and their last two seasons. Then we use 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year fantasy forecasted output. This isn't guesswork. Our process has been built using machine learning for all NFL data since 1999. We determine this output using scientifically-sound performance aging curves and retirement rates. And these numbers are specific to both positional groups and archetypes of players. These are the smartest fantasy football projections on the market. Period.

3D values+ then apply a weighted average of those 1-,3-,5- and 10-year projections and a cross-positional algorithm based on your exact league setup and scoring. The results are an unparalleled single (true) value you can use universally on the site. That means you can use these values for ranking in the preseason, regular season, and trade valuations.

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Non-PPRHalf-PPRPPRTEP
Detailed View

Player
1Jayden Daniels QB WAS1.021424.4384.1112318283279100
Daniels proved pro-ready, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces this offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil.
2Josh Allen QB BUF1.011229.0374.810741757340695
Allen wrapped up 2024 with 3,731 yards, 28 TDs, and 6 INTs in 16 games. He remained excellent on the ground with 531 yards and 12 TDs. Only 29 ahead of next season, Allen’s elite run should continue for the foreseeable future.
3Lamar Jackson QB BAL1.031428.3381.810851768319092
Jackson posted an MVP-caliber performance in 2024, resulting in a career-high 488 fantasy points. He’s under contract through the 2028 season.
4Joe Burrow QB CIN1.051228.4367.89711596308872
Burrow performed as a high-end QB1 in 2024. He was also one of the offseason winners, as Cincy retained WRs Ja’Marr Chase AND Tee Higgins on long-term deals. At only 28, Burrow should have multiple years of top-8 production remaining.
5Patrick Mahomes QB KC1.09629.7332.69811602310370
Mahomes posted relatively underwhelming production in 2024. A declining Travis Kelce and injured pass catchers (Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown) kept the lid on Mahomes’ fantasy output. Still, the development of Xavier Worthy was a major positive, while Rice and Brown return for 2025. K.C. also spent a mid-round pick on versatile WR Jalen Royals.
6Jalen Hurts QB PHI1.06526.8380.110121586260064
The Eagles signed Hurts to a five-year extension in April 2023. In 2024, his passing production took a step back after a career-best 2023. Still, he hit 10+ rushing TDs for the fourth straight year. Rushing should continue boosting Hurts' fantasy value for at least the next couple of seasons.
7Justin Herbert QB LAC2.06527.23159491556302963
Alongside new HC Jim Harbaugh, WR Ladd McConkey, and LT Joe Alt, Herbert played excellent real-life ball in 2024. However, he finished as a QB1 in only five of 17 games. Pass-catching depth remains somewhat of a question here, although the Chargers spent a Round 2 pick on Ole Miss WR Tre Harris. Josh Palmer departed in free agency.
8Caleb Williams QB CHI2.09723.5316.19211549302560
Williams showed the ability to make high-end throws as a rookie. But his tendency to hold the ball and take sacks led to a wildly inconsistent campaign. Fortunately, an improved O-line and an upgraded pass-catching corps arrived this offseason. TE Colston Loveland and WR Luther Burden arrived early in the draft, giving new HC Ben Johnson plenty of offensive weapons.
9Bo Nix QB DEN3.051425.2322.39361532289659
An older prospect at 24, Nix proved pro-ready alongside HC Sean Payton. Across 17 games, he tallied 3,775-29-12 -- plus 430-4 rushing. This offseason brought the arrival of veteran TE Evan Engram and Round 3 WR Pat Bryant.
10Drake Maye QB NE2.101422.7303.68981532309359
Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Still, he needed an upgraded supporting cast to flourish in fantasy. New England added O-line talent in free agency and in Round 1 (OT Will Campbell). The draft also brought pass-catching RB TreVeyon Henderson in Round 2 and WR Kyle Williams in Round 3.
11C.J. Stroud QB HOU2.111423.6294.88941517300154
Missed time from Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs didn’t help. But Stroud took a clear step back in 2024, ranking 33rd among 42 qualifiers in fantasy points per dropback. We remain high on the talent here, but it’s hard to buy a major bounce-back given the current supporting cast. Houston added WR Christian Kirk but traded top LT Laremy Tunsil. The draft brought reinforcements in WRs Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel.
12Brock Purdy QB SF4.09925.4300.98701445278845
Purdy nearly finished as a top-10 fantasy QB in 2024 -- despite the early-season loss of Brandon Aiyuk (ACL). He should be back for Week 1, but Deebo Samuel departed via a winter trade to Washington. This offseason should also bring a contract extension for Purdy.
13Trevor Lawrence QB JAC5.021225.6304.18511398266639
A shoulder injury limited Lawrence to only 10 games in 2024. He was unspectacular when healthy, but there's reason for optimism going forward. The Jags hit a home run with Round 1 WR Brian Thomas Jr. – then added another playmaker in Travis Hunter.
14Kyler Murray QB ARI4.041127.83168941439239939
Murray was a huge disappointment in 2024, right alongside an underwhelming Marvin Harrison Jr. We’d expect the young WR to improve in 2025, while TE Trey McBride remains a top target at his position. But Murray, entering his seventh pro season, might have already peaked as a pure passer.
15Cameron “Cam” Ward QB TEN3.07523.0274.28261401277237
Ward’s college journey took him from Incarnate Word to Washington State to Miami. The top pick improved at each stop, throwing for 4,313 yards, 39 TDs, and seven INTs for the Hurricanes in 2024. Ward showed the ability to extend plays and make accurate throws all over the field. He can also scramble at times, adding potential fantasy value. He’ll be a day 1 starter in Tennessee, but expect him to perform as a fantasy QB2 in ‘25. Longer-term,... Show More »
16Jordan Love QB GB3.081026.5296.18101348251430
Following an up-and-down start, Love excelled as Green Bay's QB of the future in 2023. A Week 1 MCL sprain impacted this past year, but he rebounded to throw for 3,389 yards and 25 TDs for a low-volume passing game. This offseason, Green Bay added a potential WR1 in top pick Matthew Golden.
17Baker Mayfield QB TB5.011130.1319.38091316249529
Baker's production reached new heights in 2024. Among the highlights: career-best marks in completion rate (71.4%), passing yards (4,500), and passing TDs (41). The addition of Round 1 WR Emeka Egbuka and the rise of WR Jalen McMillan only add to Baker's appeal.
18J.J. McCarthy QB MIN5.07622.3302.17661306258626
McCarthy wasn’t asked to carry a Michigan squad led by a strong defense and run game. Still, the two-year starter flashed a power arm and the ability to execute pro-style concepts under HC Jim Harbaugh. McCarthy isn’t short on athletic traits, either. 2024 was a developmental year on IR, but the 22-year-old should have a chance to emerge in fantasy for 2025.
19Jared Goff QB DET5.05530.6299.78261338230026
Leaning on OC Ben Johnson and an all-star cast, Goff set career highs in completion rate (72.4%) and passing TDs (37) in 2024. The durable veteran projects as a spot-start QB1 over the near term. The loss of Johnson to the Bears isn't ideal, though.
20Dak Prescott QB DAL5.10731.8300.98301366226026
Dak’s 2024 was ruined by a hamstring injury that required surgery. He’s on track to be back at full strength well ahead of Week 1 of 2025. At 32 (in July) and with declining rushing production, his days as a bankable QB1 are likely near the end.

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