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Best Week 13 Moves From Our Fantasy Football Pros

Best Week 13 Moves

Whether you're playing redraft, dynasty, or even DFS, knowing what moves to make is crucial to success.

That's why we're having each of our fantasy football pros give you one move to take advantage of this week.

Not The Worst Thanksgiving Slate DFS plays

Alex Korff

I always like to look for mispriced players on small slates to squeeze more studs in. Looking specifically at the Thanksgiving slate of CHI vs. DET, NYG vs. DAL, and MIA vs. GB, here are some low-cost options I don't hate: 

Tim Patrick (DET) $3,500 Kalif Raymond was just put on IR, which opens up even more opportunity for Patrick. He seems very cheap as your flex. He could be stacked with Goff and another DET pass catcher. 

Dontayvion Wicks (GB): $4,200 Romeo Doubs will miss Thursday’s game with a concussion. That makes the other three GB WRs much more interesting. Wicks happens to be cheaper than Watson or Reed. 

Tucker Kraft (GB) $3,700: Kraft has been disappointing the last couple of weeks. He is a bet on a TD. At $3,700 he is the 4th most expensive TE on the slate. His savings could be what you need to spend up at other positions. He is not my favorite unless I am looking at a double stack. 

Brevyn Spann-Ford (DAL) $2,700: Spann-Ford is $700 cheaper than Luke Schoonmaker and has had similar utilization. With Ferguson sidelined, Spann-Ford and Shoonmaker had 42% and 54% route participation and a 9% and 16% target share, respectively. I bet a lot of people will be on Schoonmaker, and BSF might be a good contrarian play for less. 

Turkey Day DFS

Kevin English

Happy Thanksgiving, all.

While you’re enjoying food and family, why not enter a DFS lineup or two?

Alex mentioned his longshots above, and I’ll share some core plays I like below:

Caleb Williams, Bears ($5.3K on DraftKings; $7.2K on FanDuel) at Lions

Williams has shown improvement under interim OC Thomas Brown. He peaked as the QB4 last week and now shows up as our top $ per point value across both sites.

Rico Dowdle, Cowboys ($5,500 on DraftKings; $6,100 on FanDuel) vs. Giants

Dowdle set a season-high in carry share last week vs. Washington (70%). He’s currently projected for nearly 19 touches as a 3.5-point home favorite.

Rome Odunze, Bears ($5,000 on DraftKings; $5,500 on FanDuel) at Lions

Odunze’s racked up 20 targets over the past two weeks – a close second on the team behind Keenan Allen.

Odunze’s downfield role unlocks some extra upside, especially this week against the Lions. They’ll be without CB Carlton Davis, who would have been the rookie’s primary defender. Instead, Odunze should see a good bit of Kindle Vildor – one of PFF’s lowest-graded CBs.

Stash Arizona Cardinals Defense

Matt Schauf

The Cardinals defense has improved significantly in recent weeks. Check out the trend in weekly points allowed per play:

Arizona has also posted its three smallest rates of yards allowed per play over the past three games. Over the past five weeks, the Cardinals have held opponents to the fifth-fewest passing yards per game and seventh-fewest yards per game.

That Week 8 spike came at Miami, surrounded by matchups with the Chargers, Bears, Jets, and Seahawks.

Seattle managed just 10 offensive points at home against the Cardinals in Week 12. That matched their season low from the Week 8 loss to Buffalo. And the Seahawks’ 285 total yards was second-lowest this season, beating only that Bills game.

Arizona has racked up 14 sacks over just the past three weeks and 3+ sacks in four of the past five games. The Cards averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over their first six.

They’ve delivered three straight double-digit fantasy scores (by ESPN scoring), and that’s despite just two total takeaways over that span.

Still, the Cardinals remain highly available (20% rostered on ESPN, 16% on Yahoo, as of this writing) because they head to Minnesota this week.

I’m not excited about that matchup, though Sam Darnold could make it go either way. I’m more interested in the following three games:

• Week 14 vs. Seattle
• Week 15 vs. New England
• Week 16 at Carolina

That’s three straight startable – and potentially difference-making – weeks. For a defense you can probably stash for free.

And this is the time of year to consider stashing a second defense on your roster.

Trot Out the Bears WRs for Thanksgiving and Beyond

Shane Hallam

Kevin already hit on the new Bears offense under OC Thomas Brown for DFS purposes, but don’t just limit yourself to using them in Week 13.

Though the schedule isn’t overly favorable to QB Caleb Williams, his WRs actually have the ninth-best fantasy schedule for the rest of the season.

Brown is scheming touches for the WRs with a quick pass offense:

• 54.8% of passes within 2.5 seconds
• 25.4% of passes at or behind the line of scrimmage

WR D.J. Moore has been scripted screens and shot passes with 42.9% of his targets coming at or behind the line of scrimmage.

WR Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze both topped double-digit targets last week and are averaging double-digit targets in Brown’s two-game sample.

The Lions have been so good against the run that teams have to pass against them, and the Bears have them twice the rest of the way, including this week. They also have another WR-positive matchup against the Vikings to open the fantasy playoffs.

Start those Bears WRs when faced with a roster decision in the flex moving forward.

Shane Hallam, Writer

Shane has over 20 years of experience creating content and playing every fantasy football format including redraft, dynasty, devy, IDP, and more. He is a multi-year winner of $500 dynasty leagues on the FFPC and utilizes deep film and scheme study to enhance his fantasy performance.