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Tucker Kraft - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTucker Kraft’s Basic Stats

Tucker Kraft
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 1
Age: 24.1
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 259
40 Time: 4.69

SPARQx (Rank): 118.50 (84%)
Burst Score (Rank): 120.50 (67%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.37 (74%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.11 (73%)

Tucker Kraft's Weekly Outlook

Week 16 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.8 33.7 0.33 5.2
Weekly Writeup
The Packers might get Luke Musgrave back for the first time since Week 4. Perhaps that would hurt Kraft’s opportunities. But Kraft played at least 80% of the offensive snaps in three of this season’s first four games, with Musgrave around and despite starting camp late because of a pectoral injury. Kraft’s bigger issue is Green Bay’s recent dip in passing volume: just 23 attempts per game over the past five contests. He has remained a good bet for efficiency when the ball does come his way, though, including TDs in two of the past four games.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3 33.3 0.3 5

Tucker Kraft's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#15 Tight End

137.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 51 580.4 4.77 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTucker Kraft's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Kraft had an intriguing rookie year but will suffer for sharing a roster with Luke Musgrave. That makes Kraft not only a low-upside bet for 2024. He and Musgrave are both under contract through 2026. That makes it tough to get excited about Kraft in any format as more than a handcuff. We’ll see how long his pectoral tear keeps him out.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Kraft opened his rookie season not doing a whole lot. He trailed well behind draft classmate Luke Musgrave in playing time and totaled just two targets before Week 10.
  • His playing time started to pick up in Week 5, though, and then Musgrave’s Week 11 kidney injury made Kraft a full-timer.
  • From Week 12 through the playoffs, Kraft never played less than 80% of the snaps. And he garnered even more work than Musgrave got before going down.
    • Musgrave averaged 4.5 targets, 3.3 catches, and 34.1 yards per game before hurting his kidney. From Week 12 through Week 17 (before Musgrave returned), Kraft supplied 5.0 targets, 3.8 receptions, and 46.8 yards per game.
    • Kraft’s 15.1% target share over that span also beat Musgrave’s 13.6% for his healthy stretch.
    • Of course, Musgrave had Kraft in the mix during his stretch.
  • For the season, Kraft trailed Musgrave in Pro Football Focus receiving grade, yards per route, and targets per route.
  • The two entered the league with similar size and athleticism and separated by just one round in the draft (Musgrave in the second, Kraft the third).

What to Expect in 2024

  • Kraft tore a pectoral muscle lifting weights in May. HC Matt LaFleur said he expects HC Kraft back “by training camp, and if not, it should be early on.”
  • That would give the second-year TE time to get ready and acclimated for the season. But it obviously adds a complication and limits Kraft’s physical preparation ahead of training camp.
  • Beyond that recovery, Kraft faces role uncertainty. He likely played well enough over the second half. But there’s a reason the Packers drafted Musgrave earlier and played him ahead of Kraft to open last season.
    • Musgrave’s superior performance by efficiency metrics certainly doesn’t hurt his chances of maintaining the position lead.
  • Besides the challenge at his position, Kraft will find a crowded Packers offense. He was one of seven Green Bay players to draw at least 40 targets in 2023. None reached 100.
  • There’s room for the offense to pass a bit more. Last year produced the lowest rank in neutral pass rate for the Packers since LaFleur arrived. By season, they’ve ranked:
    • 2019: 5th
    • 2020: 10th
    • 2021: 11th
    • 2022: 18th
    • 2023: 20th
  • The past two years have featured WR Davante Adams leaving (2022) and then Aaron Rodgers leaving. So it made sense for LaFleur to lean away from the pass a bit.
  • Does he lean back in the other direction after a good starting debut from QB Jordan Love and now that his very young pass-catching corps has a year of experience? If so, how much?
    • We’ll see about that. Paying up for RB Josh Jacobs in free agency and then drafting RB MarShawn Lloyd complicates that equation a bit.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jordan Love, QB GB

10:56am EDT 11/2/24

Russini: Jordan Love Expected To Play Week 9

The Athletic's Dianna Russini hears that Packers QB Jordan Love (knee) is expected to play vs. the Lions tomorrow. That matches NFL Network's Ian Rapoport's "tracking to play" report from Friday night. We'll look for further updates on Love, but we're projecting him to play as of now. He won't be at 100% and will carry elevated risk in fantasy lineups. But there's also plenty of upside here in a potential shootout against a pass-funnel Lions defense. See where Love lands in the Week 9 QB Rankings.

View all Jordan Love Shark Bites »

Packers QB Jordan Love (groin) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Lions. He got in limited practices on Thursday and Friday. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport said Friday night that Love is “tracking to play” on Sunday. It’s safe to assume he won’t be at 100%, adding risk to his Week 9 fantasy profile. But having Love under center instead of QB Malik Willis would be excellent news for Green Bay’s pass catchers.

View all Jordan Love Shark Bites »

Packers QB Jordan Love's MRI revealed a strained groin, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Colleague Tom Pelissero adds that Love is considered "day to day" and "has a chance" to play vs. the Lions this weekend. Love will certainly push to play in that big game, although it's worth noting that the Packers have a Week 10 bye. We'll track his status throughout the week. If Love is unable to go, Green Bay will turn back to QB Malik Willis. He's played surprisingly well this season, helping the Packers to three wins. But Willis would be a significant downgrade for the team's pass catchers.

View all Jordan Love Shark Bites »

Packers TE Tucker Kraft caught all three targets today for 78 yards and a TD, leading the team in receiving yards. Kraft continues to be a consistent option in the Packers passing game and has solidified his role.

View Full Story »

Packers TE Tucker Kraft (groin) is not listed on the final Week 6 injury report. He was added on Thursday and limited again in Friday's practice, but he'll play vs. the Cardinals this weekend. Coming off back-to-back TE1 finishes, Kraft is a rock-solid fantasy start.

View all Tucker Kraft Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Tucker Kraft, TE GB
Dynasty MVP 25
Position Rank #10 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
360
583
1,046
Dynasty Write-up
A well-rounded prospect, Kraft brings prototypical size at 6’5, 254 pounds. The South Dakota State product flashed fantasy value in year one, due in part to Luke Musgrave's IR stint. Jordan Love's breakout season is a huge positive, but Kraft's fantasy ceiling will remain capped alongside Musgrave.
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