Fantasy Football Redraft

Print

Best Week 5 Moves from Our Fantasy Football Pros

Best Week 5 Moves

Whether it be in redraft, dynasty, or even DFS, knowing what moves to make is crucial to success.

That's why we're having each of our fantasy football pros give you one move to take advantage of this week.

Check back every week for new moves!

Acquire Geno Smith

Smith ranks as a top-10 QB in most fantasy scoring systems through four weeks. But there’s plenty of meat left on this bone.

Smith currently ranks:

• 1st in pass attempts
• 1st in completions
• 1st in passing yards
• 17th in passing TDs

Sitting on a 2.5% passing TD rate, he’s as obvious a positive regression candidate as you could find.

Smith is both playing well and in an excellent situation for fantasy production. 

He ranks 11th in Pro Football Focus passing grade and 10th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ completion rate over expected.

The Seahawks, meanwhile, are deploying a fast-paced and pass-heavy offense under new OC Ryan Grubb. They rank:

• 3rd in plays per game
• 4th in situation-neutral pace
• 2nd in situation-neutral pass rate
• 1st in pass rate over expected

There are no more than eight or nine QBs I’d rather have than Smith the rest of the way. That list does not include Patrick Mahomes.

Smith is still available in 42% of Yahoo leagues. And if he’s rostered in yours, I bet he’s still relatively cheap to acquire.

Sterling Shepard is only $1600 on Draft Kings Showdown Captain Mode

Primetime showdown contests on Draft Kings are a guilty pleasure of mine and they are one of the few DFS contests in which I tend to do well. 

One of my key strategies is to look for 1 or 2 “mispriced” players that allow me to show more stud players into the lineup.

On Thursday, Sterling Shepard is that mispriced player at only $1600. 

Both Trey Plamer and Jalen McMilan are Out for Thursday night, and that leaves a lot of work for the new WR3 on the Bucs. 

PFF grades Atlanta as a middle-of-the-road defense with a better coverage score than we would prefer. 

Shepard could be more exciting, and I would not start him as a captain. But his low salary allows us to start the better wide receivers like Evans, Godwin, London, and/or Mooney.

We can maybe sneak in Baker and Koo as an inverse stack to round at the roster. 

Play around with these guys and see what values work!

Pick Up Curtis Samuel

Samuel has seen just 9 targets through four games. That’s fifth on the team, which matches Samuel’s team rank in total routes.

It ain’t been good.

But here’s what OC Joe Brady said Monday: “Curtis Samuel has to play more. I have to find ways to get the ball in his hands, because good things happen. And I know that. I have a good relationship with him. He trusts me, I trust him. I just gotta get him going, and I will.”

Josh Allen concurred: “No doubt we need to get him going.”

Brady, of course, coached Samuel with the 2020 Panthers, when the WR set career highs in …

• Catches (77)
• Receiving yards (851)
• Rushing (41 carries, 200 yards)

The Bills signed him in March for $8 million a year over three years. I’m gonna guess they didn’t do so with a plan to have him trail Mack Hollins in opportunities.

The ankle injury that kept WR Khalil Shakir out of Wednesday’s practice plus a challenging matchup at Houston only increase the chance that Buffalo will need Samuel this Sunday.

I’m not sticking him in a lineup unless I’m desperate. But stashing Samuel right now makes sense.

Stay the Course with Brock Bowers

Bowers almost appeared as a “buy” in our recent Redraft Trade Targets article.

Ultimately, his performance to date left him off the list. After all, he’s the TE3 in PPR.

His Week 4 dud (2 catches, 19 yards) was disappointing, particularly with Davante Adams sidelined. That followed a 3-catch, 41-yard day against Carolina.

Call it a rookie speed bump.

He’s up to 2.06 yards per route run, third among 19 TEs with 15+ targets. In Week 4, he hit a season-high in route rate (81%).

We’ll see what comes of the Adams trade rumors. If he’s ultimately moved, Bowers could become a league-winner over the second half.

Grab Tyrone Tracy

Starter Devin Singletary popped up on the injury report Wednesday with a groin injury and did not practice. A DNP sets off warning bells that players may be in danger of not suiting up if they can’t ramp up on Thursday and Friday.

The back-up RB for the Giants is clear: it’s Tyrone Tracy. In the last two weeks, he has logged 25% and 31% of snaps with 12 touches over those two weeks.

Two weeks ago, we highlighted him as a stash in our Waiver Wire Advice. 

Tracy was a college WR for Iowa and Purdue before switching to RB in his final season. His pass-catching remains stellar for a RB and has been deployed by the Giants. 

Being owned in only 6% of ESPN leagues, Tracy is available and may start this week. 

The Giants have two solid match-ups over the next two weeks. First, they face a Seahawks team that is still beat up on the defensive front and was torched by the run this past Sunday Night against the Lions.

After that is the hapless Bengals defense who give up loads of fantasy points to entire offenses. If the groin injury lingers for Singletary, Tracy could be a viable fantasy starter and take an even bigger role in the offense.  

Shane Hallam, Writer

Shane has over 20 years of experience creating content and playing every fantasy football format including redraft, dynasty, devy, IDP, and more. He is a multi-year winner of $500 dynasty leagues on the FFPC and utilizes deep film and scheme study to enhance his fantasy performance.