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Brian Thomas Jr. Injury History & Updates

Basic StatsBrian Thomas Jr.’s Basic Stats

Brian Thomas Jr.
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 0
Age: 22.1
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 209
40 Time: 4.33

Burst Score (Rank): 128.50 (83%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.44 (98%)

Injury PredictorBrian Thomas Jr.'s Injury Guide

Low Risk

Chance of Injury in 2024

30.1%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

2.1%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2024

1.30

Durability

5.00

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Guide, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 22, 2022 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Thomas missed one game against Arkansas.
Oct 27, 2024 NFL Chest Rib Sprain/Pull Unspecified Thomas exited Week 8's game against the Packers after sustaining a chest injury.

Basic StatsBrian Thomas Jr.'s Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

When Calvin Ridley was not re-signed, the Jaguars were pigeonholed into addressing WR in the draft. Thomas was the ideal scenario with his red-zone upside.

Thomas led the FBS in receiving TDs last year and is a 99th-percentile athlete with great size.

He’s unlikely to get a ton of targets as a rookie, though, so he’s unlikely to be an attractive weekly fantasy starter. He is ultimately more of a WR4 and might be overdrafted based on his draft capital and athletic profile.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Thomas was selected by the Jaguars with the 23rd overall pick of the 2024 NFL Draft.
  • He played three years at LSU.
  • Thomas posted career-best numbers in 2023:
    • 86 targets
    • 68 catches
    • 1,177 receiving yards
    • 17 receiving TDs
  • Thomas’ breakout age at 20.9 is 38th percentile among drafted WRs.
  • He was near the top of the leaderboards in the SEC:
    • Fourth in yards per game (90.5)
    • Sixth in receptions per game (5.2)
    • Seventh in yards per catch (17.31)
    • First in receiving TDs
  • Thomas was named second-team All-SEC.
  • He measured in at 6 '3, 209 pounds at the NFL Combine and registered an outstanding 4.33 40-yard time. He earned a 9.84 Relative Athletic Score.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Thomas will enter his first season with the Jaguars under HC Doug Pederson and OC Press Taylor.
  • Jacksonville lost WR Calvin Ridley in free agency but added free-agent Gabriel Davis. He, Thomas, and Christian Kirk will be the top three WRs. We’ll see who stays on the field in two-WR sets.
  • The Jaguars are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit 17th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +5000 on most sportsbooks, second-highest in the division.
  • Thomas enters his first season at 21 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Thomas’ profile will produce at 77-80% of his peak value at age-21.

Recent Injury Bites View All Shark Bites »

Gabriel Davis, WR JAC

12:10pm EST 11/18/24

Gabriel Davis Has Torn Meniscus

Jaguars WR Gabriel Davis is believed to have suffered a torn meniscus in Sunday's loss to the Lions, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Davis is expected to undergo surgery, at which point doctors will determine whether the meniscus needs to be trimmed or fully repaired. The former would sideline Davis for multiple weeks; the latter would end his season. Either way, Davis is safe to drop from all redraft rosters. His absence certainly won't hurt WR Brian Thomas or TE Evan Engram's target potential the rest of the way. None of the other Jacksonville pass catchers are worth messing with in fantasy lineups.

Update: HC Doug Pederson confirmed Monday afternoon that Davis will miss the rest of the season. He should have plenty of time to prepare for the start of 2025.

View all Gabriel Davis Shark Bites »

Jaguars HC Doug Pederson said Monday that WR Brian Thomas Jr. is "day to day" with a contusion on the left side of his chest. An MRI showed no additional damage. It's much better news than ESPN's Jeremy Fowler's report earlier today. Pederson added that Thomas Jr. has "a chance" to play vs. the Eagles on Sunday. We'll track his status throughout this week.

View all Brian Thomas Jr. Shark Bites »

Shortly after ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reported that Jaguars WR Brian Thomas Jr. might miss 2-4 weeks, ESPN Jaguars reporter Michael DiRocco updated (countered?) the report with better news. According to DiRocco, Thomas is hoping to get back onto the field this week.

View Full Story »

Jaguars WR Brian Thomas Jr. "could" miss 2-4 weeks with the chest/rib injury he suffered in Sunday's loss to the Packers, according to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler. "Scans today will determine full extent and next steps, though," Fowler adds. "Thomas is also getting a second opinion." We'll look for further updates on the rookie's status, but fantasy owners should at least prepare to be without him for Week 9. The Jaguars have a Week 12 bye, so the longer end of Fowler's timeline could have Thomas out until Week 14. For now, he's worth keeping stashed on all fantasy benches.

View all Brian Thomas Jr. Shark Bites »

How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.

The Draft War Room is the only live-sync draft tool that monitors 17 crucial in-draft indicators, including injury likelihood… and adapts to show you which players to pick throughout your draft.

See how we built the 17 indicators into our Draft War Room »
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