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C.J. Stroud Dynasty Value

C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud
Player Profile
QB HOU

Height

6'3"

Weight

218 lbs.

Experience

2 yrs.

Bye

14

Birthday

Oct 03, 2001

Age

23.4

College

Ohio State

NFL Draft Pick

2023 - Rd 1, Pk 2

Dynasty Analysis

Missed time from Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs didn’t help. But Stroud took a clear step back in 2024, ranking 33rd among 42 qualifiers in fantasy points per dropback. We remain high on the talent here, but it’s hard to buy a major bounce-back given the current supporting cast. Houston added WR Christian Kirk but traded top LT Laremy Tunsil.

Draft Sharks Model

8.63

96th percentile

0.68

57th percentile

57%

0.64

98th percentile

98%

0.94

99th percentile

99%

C.J. Stroud Player Comp

Alex Smith

Stroud is incredibly accurate, but won't use his legs as much as he should, similar to Smith. Cerebral player who may have capped upside.

C.J. Stroud Dynasty Trade Values

Format0.0 PPR0.5 PPR1.0 PPRTE Premium
1 QB
Superflex

C.J. Stroud Combine Results

Arm Length
-
Hand Size
-
40 Yard Dash
4.79
Vertical Jump
-
Broad Jump
-

C.J. Stroud Future Projections

Scoring1 Yr Proj3 Yr Proj5 Yr Proj10 Yr Proj
0.0 PPR2988941,5173,001
0.5 PPR2988941,5173,001
1.0 PPR2988941,5173,001
TE Premium2988941,5173,001

C.J. Stroud Scouting Report

C.J. Stroud Scouting Report

Height: 6’3
Weight: 214
BMI: 26.7
Age: 21.4
NFL Draft Pick: Round 1, Pick 2
Draft Sharks Model Score: 8.63
Analytics Score: 0.68
Film Score: 0.64
Production Score: 0.94

Stroud checks boxes for size, experience (25 starts), and arm talent. He's polished throwing from inside the pocket, a skill that should translate well to the pros. 

Stroud didn't run much at Ohio State, but the tape shows enough athleticism to believe he'll add value on scrambles.

C.J. Stroud Team Fit: Houston Texans

After Carolina traded up to No. 1, rumors swirled that Stroud would be the pick. Instead, he went second overall to a Texans squad breaking in new HC DeMeco Ryans and OC Bobby Slowik. 

We're buying the Kyle Shanahan disciples as successful long-term coaches. They supply optimism for Stroud's long-term QB1 upside.

Clearly, though, Houston needs a young pass-catching corps to take flight. Nico Collins looks like a solid complimentary piece. (As does veteran TE Dalton Schultz.) But there are some major questions in WR John Metchie, who missed all of 2022, and Tank Dell, a Round 3 pick at only 170 pounds.

We'll track their progress closely come training camp.

C.J. Stroud Combine Results

Arm length: 32 5/8"
Hand size: 10"
40-yard dash: n/a
10-yard split: n/a
Bench press: n/a
Vertical: n/a
Broad jump: n/a
3-cone drill: n/a

C.J. Stroud passed on athletic testing at the NFL Combine, but his on-field work was spectacular.

Percentiles vs. Combine Quarterbacks since 1999, per MockDraftable.

C.J. Stroud College Stats

GamesCmpattcmp%ydstdsintscarydstds
202010000001481
20211231744171.94,43544632-200
20221325838966.33,688416471080

Stroud Sits Behind Justin Fields

Schools lined up to court Stroud, a unanimous five-star recruit. He ultimately chose Ohio State over other premier programs such as Georgia and Michigan.

The 2020 Buckeyes featured junior Justin Fields, who started all eight games. Stroud saw only one touch that season – a 48-yard rushing score vs. Michigan State.

Stroud then earned the starting gig in 2021. 

He’d soon show everyone why.

Explosive Breakout

Across all of FBS, Stroud ranked top 5 in passing yards, completion rate, yards per attempt, TD passes, and QBR.

His Pro Football Focus (PFF) passing grade? No. 4 in the nation.

He also set several major OSU records: single-game passing yards (573), single-game passing TDs (6, twice), and season-long completion rate (71.9%).

Stroud dominated the Big Ten. And it wasn’t always a cakewalk, despite what you might have heard...

Early Injury Scare

Stroud’s 2021 season nearly went south.

“I was just banged up. Fall camp, I had stressed my rotator cuff,” he said via Cleveland.com. “In the Minnesota game [Week 1], I got a hit right on my shoulder and separated my AC joint. So that one wasn’t fun. It was kind of painful.”

The modest Stroud took a one-week breather – he wasn’t needed against Akron – before resuming a torrid pace. 

By season’s end, he ranked fourth in Heisman voting behind Bryce Young, Aidan Hutchinson, and Kenny Pickett.

NFL-Quality WRs

Stroud’s 2021 pass-catchers read like an All-Star roster:

That’s two first-round picks – Wilson and Olave – plus 3 others with Round 1 profiles.

It’s an all-time great WR corps, which certainly needs to be factored into Stroud’s evaluation.

The group broke up last spring, as Wilson and Olave turned pro. And Smith-Njigba played only parts of three games due to hamstring trouble.

How Would Stroud Respond?

Stroud proved he could handle having “only” two projected Round 1 WRs …

Combined, Harrison and Egbuka accounted for 58.5% of Stroud’s completions, 65.4% of his yards and 58.5% of his TDs.

Sure, Stroud’s numbers declined. But that was simply because of how high he set the bar in 2021.

Starting all 13 games, he still ranked top 15 nationally in:

  • Passing yards
  • TDs
  • TD rate
  • INT rate
  • YPA
  • PFF passing grade
  • PFF’s Big Time Throw Rate

No matter how you slice it, Stroud’s dynasty value remained enticing.

C.J. Stroud Highlights

Games watched: Georgia (2022), Michigan (2022), Notre Dame (2022), Maryland (2022), Oregon (2021)

Let’s start with where Stroud wins: inside the pocket. 

He doesn’t even step into this first throw, yet it’s placed perfectly.

C.J. Stroud worked beautifully inside the pocket at Ohio State. His game should translate well to the NFL and fantasy.

Per PFF’s tracking, Stroud actually leads the nation with a 26.7% rate of “perfectly placed passes” since 2021. 

Is there a subjective element to that stat? Sure. But it’s noteworthy for a guy who played with top-tier talent. And it’s backed up by the tape.

His pinpoint accuracy wasn’t restricted downfield, either. While Harrison fails to come up with this next pass, you have to love Stroud’s ball placement.

C.J. Stroud was an effective deep ball thrower at Ohio State. Excellent news for his dynasty fantasy value.

Legendary Playoff Performance

Stroud saved his best work for the playoff semifinal vs. Georgia.

What was most noteworthy? His playmaking outside the pocket. Previously, that element of his game rarely popped.

Stroud simply enjoyed the game of his life, the type that elevated his draft stock into the top 5.

C.J. Stroud doesn't lack arm strength or arm talent -- a boost for his dynasty value.

And here’s another layer: Stroud actually lost Harrison late in the third quarter to a concussion. Top TE Cade Stover left in the first quarter following a back injury.

Still, Stroud led the Buckeyes to a FG attempt that would have won the game. 

His final line: 348 yards, 4 TDs (0 turnovers) and a 67.6% completion rate.

What About the Legs?

At the Combine, Stroud admitted he felt “regret” over not running more at OSU.

“I’ll be honest," he said via Pro Football Talk. "I told [pro teams] like I’ll tell y’all: I didn’t do it a lot in college, and I feel like I should have.”

When he did take off, Stroud showed above-average wheels. He didn’t test at the Combine, but you can see he’s no Philip Rivers when given space …

C.J. Stroud isn't the next Michael Vick. But Stroud has the wheels to bolster his dynasty fantasy football value.

Don't expect Stroud to post anything close to league-leading rushing stats. Clearly, though, he's capable of supplying enough to bolster his QB1 profile.

Shark Bites

Christian Kirk WR HOU

4:29pm UTC 3/6/25

Texans Nab Christian Kirk Before His Release

Texans Nab Christian Kirk Before His Release

The Jaguars are trading WR Christian Kirk to the Texans for a seventh-round pick in 2026, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. The compensation's obviously low because the Jags had already made it known they planned to release Kirk. By giving up a late pick in next year's draft, Houston gets the final year of Kirk's existing contract (at $16.5 million) instead of having to compete for him on the open market.

The Texans hired Nick Caley as their new OC, replacing Bobby Slowik. Caley spent the past two seasons working under Sean McVay in Los Angeles, holding the title of TEs coach in 2023 and passing game coordinator last year. He was with the Patriots from 2015 through 2022. Those first seven offenses were led by OC Josh McDaniels. We'll see what Caley picked up from McVay and McDaniels, but this will be his first time calling plays at any level. Priority No. 1 will be helping QB C.J. Stroud rebound from a disappointing sophomore season. Houston also has work to do on its offensive line and WR corps, with Stefon Diggs a free agent and Tank Dell likely to miss most or all of the 2025 season.

The Texans fired OC Bobby Slowik, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. It's a big fall for Slowik, who was mentioned as a potential HC candidate just a year ago. He helped QB C.J. Stroud to an impressive 2023 rookie season, with Houston finishing 12th in total yards and 13th in points. But Stroud and the Texans offense took a step back this past year, ranking 22nd in yards and 19th in points. Slowik took some heat for a high early-down run rate, but the Texans finished 10th in neutral pass rate and fifth in pass rate over expected. To our eyes, the biggest issue in Houston was an offensive line that ranked 31st in ESPN's run block win rate and 22nd in pass block win rate. We'll see what the Texans do to bolster that unit this offseason -- and who they tab to replace Slowik.

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