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Nathaniel Dell - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsNathaniel Dell’s Basic Stats

Nathaniel Dell
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 1
Age: 25.1
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 165
40 Time: 4.49

Nathaniel Dell's Weekly Outlook

Week 16 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.6 47.4 0.3 6.8
Weekly Writeup
Our own Shane Hallam wrote an in-depth piece on Dell’s 2024 struggles. For Week 16, he remains a shaky fantasy option having hit 10 PPR points only once in his past five matchups.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.9 55.3 0.3 8

Nathaniel Dell's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#27 Wide Receiver

206.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 69.4 934.1 5.86 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsNathaniel Dell's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Dell’s connection with C.J. Stroud was apparent in his rookie season. He was on pace to be a top-15 WR until a broken fibula ended his season prematurely.

The Texans have a bevy of weapons in Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, Joe Mixon, and Stefon Diggs, so the ball may get spread around more than last season.

Despite this, Dell and Stroud’s rapport cannot be denied. Expect Dell to still deliver low-end WR2/high-end WR3 numbers.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Dell’s per-game averages as a rookie:
    • 6.82 targets
    • 4.27 receptions
    • 64.5 yards
    • 15.1 yards per catch
    • 0.64 TDs
  • He ranked as the PPR WR38 in total fantasy points (165.0) and WR16 in points per game (9.8).
  • He missed one game (Week 6) due to concussion and then suffered a season-ending broken fibula in Week 13.
  • Out of his 11 games played, Dell had four top-12 finishes. He also had five WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Dell’s target share was 21.8% (35th best among WRs).
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, Dell ranked
    • 15th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 16th in yards per route run (2.22)
    • 15th in average target depth (14.4).
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Dell was 30th in average separation yards (2.9), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Dell enters his second season under HC DeMeco Ryans and OC Bobby Slowik.
  • He is recovering from an April gunshot wound and is expected to make a full recovery.
  • The Texans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They have the highest win total in the AFC South at 9.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They also have the eighth-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1600 on most sportsbooks, best in the division.
  • Dell enters his second season at 24 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Dell’s career and profile will produce at 94-95% of peak value at age-24.
  • He’ll face tougher target competition this year with the arrival of Stefon Diggs. But Dell notably beat Diggs last year in yards per route run and PFF receiving grade.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

C.J. Stroud, QB HOU

8:58am EST 11/11/24

C.J. Stroud Cools After Hot Start

QB C.J. Stroud helped stake the Texans to a 23-7 first-half lead Sunday night against the Lions but wound up struggling -- predictably -- the rest of the way. He threw for 164 yards and a TD on 14-of-20 passing in the first half, finding WR John Metchie in the end zone late in the second quarter. But Stroud went just 6 for 13 after the break, for 68 yards and a pair of INTs.

View Full Story »

Texans WR Tank Dell (back) is active for tonight’s game vs. the Lions. He was added to the injury report on Friday and listed as questionable, but we haven’t heard anything to suggest the back will be a major issue tonight. He's a strong fantasy play with WR Nico Collins out.

View all Nathaniel Dell Shark Bites »

Texans WR Tank Dell (back) is expected to play vs. the Lions on Sunday night, according to insider Aaron Wilson. Dell was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Friday. He's officially listed as questionable. But, barring a different report on his status, Dell can stay in Week 10 fantasy lineups. We still don't have word on WR Nico Collins' status for Sunday night, but Wilson writes that the Texans "have prepared all week to go without him."

View all Nathaniel Dell Shark Bites »

Texans WR Tank Dell was listed as Questionable on the final injury report after a limited practice on Friday. Dell's Week 10 status is now in jeopardy after sustaining the injury at practice.

View Full Story »

Texans WR Stefon Diggs will miss the remainder of the season with a torn right ACL. His season ends with 47 catches, 496 yards, and 3 TDs in less than 8 full games.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Nathaniel Dell, WR HOU
Dynasty MVP 33
Position Rank #41 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
458
747
1,380
Dynasty Write-up
As a rookie, Dell shoved aside size concerns to quickly develop into a go-to target for C.J. Stroud. While his season ended with a fractured fibula, Dell should be 100% ahead of Week 1, 2024. Stroud’s quick ascent supplies a nice boost to the WR’s dynasty stock, but his short-term numbers take a hit with the addition of Stefon Diggs.
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