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Chris Olave - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChris Olave's Basic Stats

Chris Olave
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 187
40 Time: 4.39

Burst Score (Rank): 116.40 (25%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.00 (51%)

Chris Olave's Weekly Outlook

Week 9 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.5 72.7 0.43 9.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.6 76.3 0.4 10.1

Chris Olave's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#15 Wide Receiver

237.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 85.6 1145.8 6.21 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChris Olave's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Olave remains easily the Saints’ best WR.

He improved in nearly every metric from Year 1 to Year 2, and the upward trajectory should continue this season

Though Derek Carr is still the QB, Olave will get the targets to be an every-week starter and a WR1, which is where he sits in our rankings.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Olave posted a season-long stat line of 87 catches for 1,123 yards and five TDs in 16 games.
  • His per-game averages were slightly improved from his rookie season (2022):
    • 8.63 targets (up from 7.93)
    • 5.44 receptions (up from 4.80)
    • 70.2 yards (up from 69.5)
    • 12.9 yards per catch (down from 14.5)
    • 0.31 TDs (up from 0.27)
  • Olave ranked as the PPR WR16 in total fantasy points and WR20 in points per game.
  • He missed one game last year (Week 15) with a right ankle injury. It was the third game he’s missed in two years.
  • He had four top-12 finishes. He also had four WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Olave’s target share stayed consistent from 25.6% in 2022 (21st among WRs) to 25.8% (16th among WRs).
  • Among 89 WRs with 45+ targets, Olave ranked 17th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and 18th in yards per route run (2.07).
  • Among those same 89 WRs, Olave ranked 18th in average targeted air yards (13.3) and 12th in percentage of team air yards (37.15%).

What to Expect in 2024

  • Olave enters his third season with the Saints under HC Dennis Allen.
  • New OC Klint Kubiak spent last year as the 49ers' passing-game coordinator
    • Last season the 49ers threw the fewest passes in the NFL at 491.
    • In Kubiak’s last OC stint for the Vikings in 2021, the team finished 12th in the league in pass attempts (604).
  • The Saints are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Saints have the 25th-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +8000 on most sportsbooks, third highest in the division.
  • Olave enters his third season at 24 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Olave’s career produces at 95% of his peak value at age 24.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Derek Carr, QB NO

2:51pm EDT 10/28/24

Derek Carr On Track For Week 9 Return

Saints HC Dennis Allen said Monday that QB Derek Carr (oblique) is expected to return to practice this week. Allen added that he's "optimistic" Carr will be able to play vs. the Panthers on Sunday. That'd be excellent news for everyone in this New Orleans offense. The Saints averaged just 15 points and 215 passing yards per game without Carr over the past three weeks.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave (concussion) is off the final Week 8 injury report and will play vs. the Chargers on Sunday. QB play is a concern with Derek Carr still out. But Olave should dominate targets with no WR Rashid Shaheed. Olave cracks the top 24 in our Week 8 WR Rankings.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave (concussion) graduated to a full practice on Thursday. He's on track to be cleared for this weekend's game vs. the Chargers. QB play is a concern with Derek Carr expected to miss again, but Olave should dominate targets with WR Rashid Shaheed out.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave (concussion) got in a limited practice on Wednesday. He should be tracking toward a return for this weekend's game vs. the Chargers, but nothing's a given when it comes to concussions. We'll keep you updated on Olave's progress over the next few days.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave (concussion) is out for Thursday night's game vs. the Broncos. He never had a realistic chance to clear protocol in just four days. Olave should be back for Week 8's game against the Chargers, but we'll track his progress next week.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Chris Olave, WR NO
Dynasty MVP 49.7
Position Rank #16 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
391
646
1,157
Dynasty Write-up
Olave tallied 87-1,123-5 in Year 2 – solid on the surface. But an inconsistent deep ball connection with Derek Carr left plenty of meat on the bone. Olave’s targets should remain steady going forward.
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