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Dynasty Analysis
A hamstring injury knocked Collins out for part of 2024, but he was still the PPR WR8 in points per game despite a very down year for the Texans offense and passing game. Collins has now shown two years of top production. If C.J. Stroud reverts back to his rookie year, Collins should continue being a WR1. He is under contract through 2027.
Draft Sharks Model
6.65
69th percentile
0.53
86th percentile
0.41
60th percentile
0.30
43rd percentile
Nico Collins Player Comp
DeVante Parker
Collins checks boxes for size, length, and contested catch ability. While not a burner, he could stick as an outside X.
Nico Collins Combine Results
Nico Collins Future Projections
| Scoring | 1 Yr Proj | 3 Yr Proj | 5 Yr Proj | 10 Yr Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0 PPR | 210 | 554 | 897 | 1,658 |
| 0.5 PPR | 263 | 692 | 1,122 | 2,073 |
| 1.0 PPR | 316 | 831 | 1,346 | 2,488 |
| TE Premium | 316 | 831 | 1,346 | 2,488 |
Nico Collins Trends
1QB Format
Superflex Format
Players of Similar Value
| 3D VALUE+ | PLAYER NAME | POSITION |
|---|---|---|
| 79 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR |
| 78 | Ashton Jeanty | RB |
| 72 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
| 69 | Nico Collins | WR |
| 63 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR |
| 62 | Breece Hall | RB |
| 62 | Saquon Barkley | RB |
Shark Bites
C.J. Stroud QB HOU
9:16pm EST 2/3/25Nick Caley Taking Over Texans Offense
Nick Caley Taking Over Texans Offense
The Texans hired Nick Caley as their new OC, replacing Bobby Slowik. Caley spent the past two seasons working under Sean McVay in Los Angeles, holding the title of TEs coach in 2023 and passing game coordinator last year. He was with the Patriots from 2015 through 2022. Those first seven offenses were led by OC Josh McDaniels. We'll see what Caley picked up from McVay and McDaniels, but this will be his first time calling plays at any level. Priority No. 1 will be helping QB C.J. Stroud rebound from a disappointing sophomore season. Houston also has work to do on its offensive line and WR corps, with Stefon Diggs a free agent and Tank Dell likely to miss most or all of the 2025 season.
C.J. Stroud QB HOU
1:32pm EST 1/24/25Texans Fire OC Bobby Slowik
Texans Fire OC Bobby Slowik
The Texans fired OC Bobby Slowik, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. It's a big fall for Slowik, who was mentioned as a potential HC candidate just a year ago. He helped QB C.J. Stroud to an impressive 2023 rookie season, with Houston finishing 12th in total yards and 13th in points. But Stroud and the Texans offense took a step back this past year, ranking 22nd in yards and 19th in points. Slowik took some heat for a high early-down run rate, but the Texans finished 10th in neutral pass rate and fifth in pass rate over expected. To our eyes, the biggest issue in Houston was an offensive line that ranked 31st in ESPN's run block win rate and 22nd in pass block win rate. We'll see what the Texans do to bolster that unit this offseason -- and who they tab to replace Slowik.
C.J. Stroud QB HOU
2:32pm EST 12/30/24Will Texans Play Starters In Week 18?
Will Texans Play Starters In Week 18?
Texans HC Demeco Ryans was vague when asked whether he'll play starters in Sunday's finale vs. the Titans. Houston is locked into the AFC's No. 4 seed. "Everybody has to be ready to go," Ryans said of Week 18. "Everybody will be out there playing and we'll see how the game goes. But, for us right now, we gotta go play better." The Texans could certainly use some positive momentum heading into the playoffs coming off two straight losses, including a 31-2 shellacking at the hands of the Ravens on Christmas. So it'd make sense for the regulars to play at least a few series. But we'd be surprised if guys like QB C.J. Stroud, RB Joe Mixon, and WR Nico Collins played the entire game.
C.J. Stroud QB HOU
5:58pm EST 12/15/24C.J. Stroud Underwhelming in Win
C.J. Stroud Underwhelming in Win
Texans QB C.J. Stroud managed only 131 yards in Sunday's win over Miami. He hit two TDs for only the fifth time this season.
Nico Collins WR HOU
12:37am EST 11/19/24Nico Collins Only Average In Return
Nico Collins Only Average In Return
Texans WR Nico Collins played his first game in over six weeks, catching four passes 54 yards on seven targets. He did have a TD called back due to a penalty. Collins has retained his athleticism, but struggled for most of the night against Trevon Diggs.
