Open Nav
Show Navigation
Show Menu
FANTASY FOOTBALL NEWS

Lower Pass Rate Hurting Jalen Hurts?

By Matt Schauf | Updated on Mon, 21 Oct 2024, 11:28 AM EDT
Jalen Hurts Headshot

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is averaging the fewest fantasy points per game among his four seasons as starter. And the problem isn't his rushing. Hurts is actually up 1.3 carries per game over last year -- albeit at a career-low 3.5 yards per carry. He's also on pace for his fourth straight season of 10+ rushing scores. But Philly's pass less than last year.

2024 Fantasy Football Impact

Through seven weeks, the Eagles' 46.5% neutral pass rate ranks sixth-lowest in the league, according to RBSDM.com. Even if you take out Sunday's 33% pass rate, the season rate climbs to just 48.2%.

Last year's Eagles finished at 57.9%, the sixth-highest neutral pass rate in the league.

This year marks the first under OC Kellen Moore. But Philly also lost WR A.J. Brown for weeks 2-4, plus DeVonta Smith for Week 4.

So we'll have to see whether more time with his top two WRs back and more time in Moore's system lead to more passing -- or if the plan was just to lean this heavily on Saquon Barkley.

If Philly's pass rate stays down, we'll have to modify expectations for Hurts and his pass-catchers.

Matt Schauf Author Image
Matt Schauf, Editor
Matt has earned two Fantasy Pros accuracy awards for IDP rankings and won thousands of dollars as a player across best ball, dynasty, and high-stakes fantasy formats. He has been creating fantasy football content for more than 20 years, with work featured by Sporting News, Rotoworld, Athlon, Sirius XM, and others. He's been with Draft Sharks since 2011.
Pass Rate Over Expected Data - Week 7

Pass Rate Over Expected Data - Week 7

8 hours ago

Pass rate over expected for and against data for all 32 teams. Find out which teams want to air it out and which want to run the rock. Useful information when making start/sit decisions, waiver-wire moves, and trades.

Read More »
Week 8 Waiver Wire Pickups

Week 8 Waiver Wire Pickups

14 hours ago

Several injury situations have opened the door for new fantasy contributors. See which QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs to target inside the Week 8 waiver wire pickups.

Read More »
IDP Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 8

IDP Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 8

16 hours ago

DeForest Buckner nears a return. Should you chase him on the waiver wire right away? And who else emerges in the wake of injuries on other defenses?

Read More »
Compare Plans » Compare Plans »
THE 2024 ROOKIE GUIDE IS HERE! UPDATED POST-DRAFT
Trade Values • Model Scores • Analytics • Sleepers • Busts & More