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Zach Ertz - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsZach Ertz’s Basic Stats

Zach Ertz
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 11
Age: 34.0
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 250
40 Time: 4.76
Speed Score: 97.80

SPARQx (Rank): 113.80 (73%)
Burst Score (Rank): 119.10 (61%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.55 (53%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.03 (58%)

Zach Ertz's Weekly Outlook

Week 12 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.6 35.5 0.25 4.8
Weekly Writeup
Ertz has caught 4+ passes in five of the past six games. He has also seen 7+ targets in three of the past four. There’s some downside risk on the passing volume this week, with Dallas so collectively weak at this point that Washington arrives as a 10.5-point favorite. But the Commanders also carry the week’s second-highest Vegas team total. So there’s scoring upside for everyone.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.8 31.8 0.3 4.8

Zach Ertz's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#19 Tight End

137.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 59.3 544.1 4 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsZach Ertz's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

At 34 (in November), Ertz is well past his prime.

There’s an opportunity waiting for him in Washington – if he can hold off Round 2 pick Ben Sinnott.

Even then… is there enough for Ertz to rise beyond the status of deep-league spot starter?

Given the improved TE landscape -- and Ertz's recent form -- we’ll say no.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Ertz began last year on the Cardinals. However, he never played alongside Kyler Murray, who returned in Week 10.
    • The former Eagle saw games of 10, 10, and 8 targets. But he was highly inefficient with .95 yards per route run and 6.9 yards per catch.
  • Ertz was released in November after a mid-season quad injury.
  • Detroit scooped him up in January, but he never suited up for a game.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Washington signed Ertz to a one-year deal in March.
  • The move reunites him with his HC in Arizona (and new OC) Kliff Kingsbury.
    • Familiarity with the offense is helpful. Just note: In four years as Arizona’s HC, Kingsbury’s units targeted TEs at a clip of 15.3%.
    • For context, that would have ranked 28th in the league last year.
  • Here’s Ertz on signing with Washington:
    • "Kliff has been a huge part of my success the past few years in Arizona and so when he got the job in Washington and I was a free agent, it was very easy for me to say, 'hey, this is a place that I would love to play for,'" he said. "They've essentially redone the entire building since I came into the league. New owner, new GM, a new head coach and I've never heard anyone say a bad word about Dan Quinn and so I'm extremely excited to play for him and to get back on the East Coast is going to be fun."
  • Washington used a Round 2 pick on Kansas State TE Ben Sinnott, a highly athletic prospect at nearly 6’4, 250.
  • The Ertz-Sinnott duo figures to platoon work to replace the 78 targets left behind by Logan Thomas.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Terry McLaurin, WR WAS

4:35pm EST 11/10/24

Terry McLaurin Goes Over 100 Yards Receiving Against the Steelers

Commanders WR Terry McLaurin caught five of six targets for 113 yards. He was third in targets behind Noah Brown and Zach Ertz, but was the major downfield target for QB Jayden Daniels.

View Full Story »

Ben Standig of The Athletic writes that TE Zach Ertz "showed more speed than expected" in spring practices. He added that second-round rookie TE Ben Sinnott "might ultimately be more H-back or fullback than tight end."

View Full Story »

The Commanders selected Kansas State TE Ben Sinnott in Round 2 of the NFL Draft. Sinnott was a no-star recruit and walked on at Kansas State. He totaled just two catches across his first two years on campus but earned a scholarship and significant role as a junior in 2022. Sinnott ranked fourth on that Wildcats team with 447 receiving yards and tied for second with four receiving TDs. 2023 brought new career highs across the board: 49 catches, a team-high 676 yards, and a team-high six scores. Sinnott ranked ninth in both Pro Football Focus receiving grade and yards per route among 81 qualifying TEs. The 6’4, 250-pounder boasts plus ball skills and fluidity in his routes and after the catch. He crushed the Combine with a 4.68-second 40 time, a 40-inch vertical, and elite marks in 3-cone and short shuttle to earn a 9.73 Relative Athletic Score. Sinnott also brings versatility, lining up in-line, in the slot, out wide, and in the backfield at Kansas State. The Commanders currently have Zach Ertz atop the depth chart, but he’s playing on a one-year deal. He also turns 34 next season. If Jayden Daniels hits, Sinnott could develop into a spot-start TE1 before the end of 2025.

View all Ben Sinnott Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that TE Zach Ertz has agreed to a one-year deal with the Commanders worth "up to" $5 million. We'll be curious to see more specific terms on the contract -- such as whether it even guarantees he'll even break training camp with the team. Ertz managed just 27 catches over six games for the Cardinals last year, coming off a 2022 ACL tear. He failed to reach another active roster after Arizona waived him Nov. 30. (He finished the year on Detroit's practice squad.) Ertz will turn 34 in November and has set career lows in yards per catch each of the past two seasons (8.6, then 6.9). He spent his pre-2023 Arizona time playing under then-HC Kliff Kingsbury, who joined Washington as OC this offseason. We'll see how much that factored into Ertz's signing and what Kingsbury might have planned. The Commanders have room on the TE depth chart after dumping Logan Thomas, with only Cole Turner and John Bates under contract. But the Ertz signing shouldn't exclude them from making any other moves at the position. You can consider Ertz as a third TE late in your best ball drafts, but we wouldn't chase him any earlier than that.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Zach Ertz, TE WAS
Dynasty MVP 1.2
Position Rank #35 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
131
188
305
Dynasty Write-up
The Lions signed Ertz on January 22. It proved to be a short-term fit, as Ertz signed a one-year deal with Washington in March (valued up to $5 million). Durability concerns and an advanced age make him an unlikely fantasy factor beyond next season.
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