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Tyler Lockett - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyler Lockett's Basic Stats

Tyler Lockett
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 9
Age: 32.1
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 182
40 Time: 4.40
Speed Score: 93.10

Burst Score (Rank): 120.90 (47%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.96 (82%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.00 (51%)

Tyler Lockett's Weekly Outlook

Week 9 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.9 47.3 0.28 6.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.4 51.8 0.4 7.3

Tyler Lockett's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#36 Wide Receiver

195 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 73.8 863.5 5.81 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyler Lockett's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Lockett turns 32 in September and looks like a player in decline, posting his lowest fantasy points per game and yards per route since 2017 last year.

He still finished 41st among WRs in PPR points per game, though, despite underachieving in the TD department. And new OC Ryan Grubb could provide a boost to Seattle’s passing game this season.

Lockett isn’t an exciting pick but is fine to target in WR4 range.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Lockett caught 79 balls for 894 yards and five TDs in 17 games last year.
  • He finished 41st among WRs in PPR points per game; 49th in non-PPR points per game.
  • It was Lockett’s worst fantasy output since 2017.
  • He was a volatile weekly producer. Lockett finished as a top-15 PPR WR in four weeks but ranked outside the top-40 nine times.
  • He got unlucky in the TD department, scoring five TDs on 6.7 expected TDs.
    • Lockett scored on 6.3% of his catches last year, well down from his 10.1% TD rate over his first eight NFL seasons.
  • His 7.3 yards per target was a career low, and his 1.61 yards per route was his worst mark since 2017.
  • Among 80 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Lockett ranked:
    • 57th in yards per target
    • 43rd in yards per route
    • 29th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
  • Lockett trailed teammate D.K. Metcalf in all three metrics but beat Jaxon Smith-Njigba in all three.
  • Lockett led the Seahawks with 122 targets, although Metcalf beat him in targets per game (7.4 to 7.2).
  • Seahawks WR targets in their 16 games together last year:
    • Metcalf 119
    • Lockett 117
    • Jaxon Smith-Njigba 93

What to Expect in 2024

  • Lockett turns 32 in September. Our aging-curve research says to expect 75% of peak production at age-32 – down from 82% at 31.
  • Metcalf, who’s in his prime at 26, and Smith-Njigba, who should be ascending in year two, return for 2024.
  • Seattle has a brand new coaching staff led by HC Mike Macdonald and OC Ryan Grubb.
  • This will be Grubb’s first NFL coaching job.
    • He’s been coaching in various offensive roles for various schools since 2003.
    • Grubb most recently served as the University of Washington’s OC. Those Huskies teams both ranked top 13 in the nation in total yards and points per game.
    • They were especially lethal through the air, ranking first and then second in passing yards per game. Washington ranked top five in pass attempts both years.
  • Grubb said in early June that his Seahawks offense might not be as pass-heavy.
    • “So when you talk about some of the run-pass balance, you have backs like (Kenneth Walker III) and Zach (Charbonnet), you are pretty excited about your ability to run the ball. So I think for us we are trying to meld some things together with some things we’ve done in the past, whether it’s a long time ago or even just the last few years and get the guys to understand that we want to be a physically dominant team and at the same time have that same explosive, confusing element that people are used to.”
  • Grubb loved throwing deep at Washington. QB Michael Penix ranked fourth in passes of 20+ yards in 2022 and then led the country in 2023.
  • We’ll see what that means for Lockett. He’s registered low 10.6- and 10.8-yard average target depths the past two seasons but was over 12 yards in three of four seasons before that.

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D.K. Metcalf, WR SEA

5:16pm EDT 10/21/24

D.K. Metcalf "Week To Week" With MCL Sprain

Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf is considered "week to week" with a Grade 1 MCL sprain suffered in the Week 7 win over the Falcons, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Seattle gets the Bills and Rams the next two weeks before a Week 10 bye, so it's possible we don't see Metcalf again until Week 11.

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Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (knee) is not listed on the final Week 7 injury report. He was added on Thursday and held out of practice but will play vs. the Falcons on Sunday. Lockett sits just 44th among WRs in PPR points per game through Week 6 but has some WR3 appeal this week in a game with shootout potential.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (knee) did not practice on Thursday. He wasn't even on Wednesday's injury report, so Lockett either hurt his knee between then and Thursday or just got a veteran day off. We'll update his status when we get Seattle's final injury report tomorrow.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett posted a modest 4-75 receiving line in Sunday's loss to the Giants. But that was enough to lead the team in receiving yards and tie for second in receptions, behind RB Kenneth Walker III. Lockett's 6 targets trailed Walker (8) and WRs D.K. Metcalf and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (7 apiece). Metcalf posted a 4-55 receiving line. Smith-Njigba went 4-31-1.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Tyler Lockett, WR SEA
Dynasty MVP 17.2
Position Rank #77 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
235
326
440
Dynasty Write-up
Last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba arrived to stiffen target competition. But it was a decline in play from Geno Smith -- and Lockett -- that led to dips in catch rate, TD rate, yards per catch, and yards after catch. The veteran is under contract for two more seasons.
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