Rhamondre Stevenson's 2024 Projections & Outlook
Scoring
#23 Running Back
193.7 Projected Points
ADP |
Rush Atts |
Rush Yds |
Rush TDs |
100 |
Fum |
Rec |
Rec Yds |
Rec TDs |
Not Available |
241.3 |
992.6 |
5.07 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
36.9 |
237.2 |
1.1 |
DS 3D Projections
Bottom Line
Following a breakout 2022, Stevenson’s production dropped last fall.
A Week 13 high ankle sprain turns up one reason. New England’s offense remained unwatchable, too. Stevenson was unable to repeat his ‘22 efficiency or pass-catching output.
A coaching change and a hopeful QB upgrade adds optimism for Stevenson’s contract year. Just don’t expect impactful receiving stats following the addition of Antonio Gibson.
Stevenson ultimately settles in as a low-end RB2.
What We Learned Last Year
- Stevenson's 2023 ended with a Week 13 high ankle sprain.
- Prior to the injury, Stevenson averaged 12.9 PPR points per game – down from the 14.8 he tallied in a breakout 2022.
- Despite a horrible offense, he still tallied five top-15 fantasy finishes.
- Among 37 RBs with 150+ carries, Stevenson ranked T-21st in YPC, 24th in YAC per attempt, and 20th in Pro Football Focus’ Elusive Rating.
- He sat 8th in success rate and 19th in EPA per rush.
- Stevenson finished near league average in rush yards over expected per attempt (-0.12).
- He averaged 4.54 targets per game but remained underwhelming on a per-catch basis (6.3 YPC).
- In 10 games with Zeke Elliott, Stevenson out-carried him 126 to 86.
What to Expect in 2024
- Stevenson enters a contract year.
- The Pats added Antonio Gibson (3 years, $11.25 million) in free agency. He’s guaranteed $5.3 million.
- Gibson flamed out in Washington last year, seeing a career-low 65 carries.
- However, he tallied career highs in catches (48) and yards per catch (8.1). He projects best as a passing-down/change-of-pace back.
- Drake Maye and Jacoby Brissett arrive to upgrade the QB room.
- Brissett has a real chance to start Week 1, despite Maye arriving third overall. It’s very likely we see Maye at some point, though.
- The Pats ranked 10th in run-block win rate last year, but there are questions about the ‘24 unit.
- LT Chukwuma Okorafor wasn’t a full-time starter in Pittsburgh last year and will transition from RT.
- G Cole Strange is expected to miss early-season games due to a knee injury, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport.
- Alex Van Pelt arrives as the new play-caller. His units have ranked top 10 in rushes in four of five seasons as OC.