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Rachaad White - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRachaad White’s Basic Stats

Rachaad White
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 3
Age: 25.9
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 214
40 Time: 4.48

Burst Score (Rank): 127.10 (86%)

Rachaad White's Weekly Outlook

Week 16 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
46.3 0.35 2.2 17.6 0.14 9.2
Weekly Writeup
White has earned more touches after he was trending downward for a few weeks. Now he is getting opportunities on the ground and through the air as the 1B in the backfield. The Cowboys are second to last in RB points allowed per touch, so spike potential is there. White has low-end RB2 potential in PPR.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
34.7 0.3 2.8 21.6 0.1 7.8

Rachaad White's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#22 Running Back

189.8 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 158.8 618.7 4.75 0.1 1.5 49.7 394.5 2.21

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRachaad White's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Our 2023 Breakout Pick, White delivered for the Buccaneers as a receiving RB who was a solid RB1 in PPR leagues.

But the Buccaneers lost OC Dave Canales and are changing offenses once again. Though White will be used heavily in the game plan, it may be difficult for him to repeat last year’s success.

They also added rookie RB Bucky Irving, who brings receiving upside.

White is a high-end RB2 both in ADP and our rankings accounting for his receptions regressing to the mean and the Buccaneers’ offense as a whole taking a step backward.

What We Learned Last Year

  • White’s 1,539 total yards ranked fourth among RBs. His 64 catches also ranked fourth.
  • He did not miss any games due to injury. He has not sustained an injury in his NFL career.
  • White ranked as the PPR RB4 in total fantasy points and RB10 in points per game.
    • He finished RB12 or better nine times. He recorded three games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 42nd among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 40.8%.
  • White played 78% of the Buccaneer’s offensive snaps last season (the highest snap percentage of any RB in the league).
  • He significantly improved his per-game statistics from his rookie season.
    • 16.0 carries (7.59)
    • 58.2 rushing yards (28.3)
    • 0.35 rushing TDs (0.06)
    • 4.12 targets (3.41)
    • 19.9% Opportunity Share (11.9%)
    • 3.76 catches (2.94))
    • 32.3 receiving yards (17.1)
    • 0.18 receiving TDs (0.12)
  • Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, White ranked:
    • 44th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 28th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 46th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • His receiving metrics were better. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, White ranked:
    • 21st in PFF receiving grade
    • 19th in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • White enters his third season with the Buccaneers under HC Todd Bowles
  • New OC Liam Coen spent last year as the Kentucky OC after coordinating the Rams in 2022.
    • In 2022, the Rams ranked 25th with 411 rushing attempts.
  • The Buccaneers are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Buccaneers have the 21st-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +5500 on most sportsbooks, second best in the division.
  • White enters his third season at 25 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with White’s career produces at 98% of his peak value at age-25.
  • The Bucs added RB Bucky Irving in the fourth round of this spring’s draft. He’s undersized and tested poorly at the Combine. But Irving tallied 2,238 rushing yards, 712 receiving yards, and 21 TDs at Oregon over the past two seasons.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cade Otton, TE TB

3:55pm EST 12/20/24

Cade Otton Out For Week 16

Buccaneers TE Cade Otton (knee) is listed as doubtful for Sunday night’s game vs. the Cowboys. HC Todd Bowles called him a game-time decision on Friday morning, but he’s evidently unlikely to play. The other TEs on Tampa Bay’s roster are Payne Durham, Ko Kieft, and Devin Culp. None is a viable fantasy play. Otton’s absence should push more targets to the WRs and RBs.

Update: The Buccaneers downgraded Otton to out.

View all Cade Otton Shark Bites »

Buccaneers HC Todd Bowles said Monday that RB Bucky Irving's availability for this weekend's game vs. the Chargers is uncertain. "We gotta see how it feels," Bowles said of Irving's back. "If we can get it loosened up, he should be okay. If not, we’ll see how the week goes." We'll track the rookie's status throughout this week, but fantasy owners should be lining up alternate plans in case Irving can't go. His absence would make RB Rachaad White a strong fantasy start.

View all Mar'Keise Irving Shark Bites »

Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving (hip, back) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Raiders. He only got in a limited practice on Friday. We should get an update on Irving by Sunday morning and will have Tampa Bay’s inactives by 11:30 am. If he ends up missing this one, Rachaad White would be a borderline RB1 and Sean Tucker at least a RB3 or Flex option.

View all Mar'Keise Irving Shark Bites »

Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving (hip, back) remained sidelined for Thursday's practice. He played through these injuries last week but isn't guaranteed to play vs. Las Vegas on Sunday. Irving's absence would leave Tampa's backfield to Rachaad White and Sean Tucker. We'll update Irving's status again by Friday afternoon.

View all Mar'Keise Irving Shark Bites »

Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving (hip, back) did not practice on Wednesday. He played into overtime last week, so we're not expecting these issues to keep him out for Sunday's game vs. the Raiders. If they did, though, RB Rachaad White would become a must-start, and RB Sean Tucker would become a viable RB3 or Flex. We'll update Irving's status again on Thursday.

View all Mar'Keise Irving Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Rachaad White, RB TB
Dynasty MVP 31
Position Rank #23 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
381
554
836
Dynasty Write-up
We were pumped to see White — an athletic back with pass-catching ability — land in Round 3 in 2022. He managed to get on the field early and eventually work in tandem with Leonard Fournette. 2023 turned up workhorse usage, boosted by a thin backfield and a surprisingly effective Baker Mayfield. However, we're baking in some regression for dynasty, as his RB4 finish (PPR) will be tough to repeat. He'll face legit competition from rookie Bucky Irving.
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