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Keon Coleman - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKeon Coleman’s Basic Stats

Keon Coleman
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 0
Age: 21.6
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.61

Burst Score (Rank): 128.10 (82%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.97 (45%)

Keon Coleman's Weekly Outlook

Week 17 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.3 33 0.22 4.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.7 37 0.3 5.3

Keon Coleman's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#84 Wide Receiver

110.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 37.1 516.9 3.56 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKeon Coleman's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Coleman, only 21, isn’t a polished product.

He might be 1-2 years away from a true breakout.

For 2024, though, there’s clearly a ton of opportunity – if he proves ready. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis leave a significant target share. Currently, there’s no obvious go-to option for this offense.

So consider Coleman a WR4 stash to begin the season – one with some enticing TD upside.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Coleman’s college career started at Michigan State, where he spent two seasons.
    • He posted a breakout 2022 (58-798-7) alongside current Packers WR Jayden Reed.
    • Coleman posted some solid market shares: 22.5% of the receptions, 27.7% of the receiving yards, and 30.4% of the receiving TDs.
  • He transferred to Florida State in early 2023.
    • Coleman’s production was unspectacular, though. While he popped as a TD scorer (11), he lacked week-to-week consistency.
    • Most notably, his market share of the receiving yards dipped to 21.9%.
    • Rookie Round 6 WR Johnny Wilson topped Coleman in yards per game, targets per route, yards per route, and yards per target.
    • Consider that Wilson was a senior – Coleman only 20 and in his first year with the program.
  • When right, Coleman effectively pairs a hulked-up frame (6’3, 213) with effortless ball skills.

What to Expect in 2024

  • The Bills lost 241 targets from the departures of Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis.
  • GM Brandon Beane said he allowed Allen to share his input on the rookie WR class.
    • Coleman was reportedly Allen's desired pick at 33rd overall.
  • He projects to play most of his snaps outside for a WR corps that includes Curtis Samuel and Khalil Shakir.
    • Samuel, 28, spent the past three years in Washington. After an injury-ruined 2021, he filled a short-range slot role from 2022-2023.
    • His contract ($15 million guaranteed) suggests he'll see a sizable role.
    • Shakir flashed down the stretch in 2023. It remains to be seen if Buffalo’s comfortable giving him more outside reps after playing primarily from the slot.
  • Dalton Kincaid enters year two with a chance to push for a target share north of 20%.
  • QB play is the least of Coleman’s concerns. Josh Allen remains squarely in his prime, and his ability to extend plays bodes well for the rookie’s TD upside.

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Curtis Samuel, WR BUF

23 hours ago

Curtis Samuel INACTIVE

Bills WR Curtis Samuel (rib) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Jets. Buffalo will continue to roll with a WR rotation of Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Amari Cooper, and Mack Hollins.

View all Curtis Samuel Shark Bites »

Bills WR Keon Coleman (wrist) put in a full week of practice and is not listed on the final injury report for Sunday's game vs. the Lions. It's unclear how big a role the rookie will play in his first game since Week 9. We'd try to keep Coleman on fantasy benches this week. His return does add some downside risk to the target projections on WRs Amari Cooper and Khalil Shakir.

View all Keon Coleman Shark Bites »

Bills WR Keon Coleman (wrist) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. That should put him on track to return for this weekend's game vs. the Lions. Coleman adds another target threat to Buffalo's other pass catchers, but the rookie should not be in fantasy lineups in his first action since Week 9.

View all Keon Coleman Shark Bites »

Bills WR Keon Coleman (wrist) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Rams. He was reportedly a game-time decision, so we’d expect him back next week. Buffalo will continue to roll with WRs Khalil Shakir, Amari Cooper, Curtis Samuel, and Mack Hollins.

View all Keon Coleman Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Keon Coleman, WR BUF
Dynasty MVP 37
Position Rank #31 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
473
809
1,600
Dynasty Write-up
Coleman spent his first two seasons at Michigan State, even garnering a spot on the basketball team. After a 2022 breakout (58-798-7), Coleman transferred to FSU in 2023. Despite disappearing in some games, he remained a scoring machine (22% TD rate) at an imposing 6’4, 215 pounds. Coleman’s not a burner but sports a skill set similar to Tee Higgins'. Consider him an enticing match for playmaking QB Josh Allen.
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