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Jordan Addison - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJordan Addison's Basic Stats

Jordan Addison
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 1
Age: 22.8
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 175
40 Time: 4.49

Burst Score (Rank): 118.80 (37%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.24 (52%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.89 (31%)

Jordan Addison's Weekly Outlook

Week 9 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.2 44.2 0.3 6.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.9 51 0.3 7

Jordan Addison's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#43 Wide Receiver

166.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 59.7 780.6 4.81 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJordan Addison's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

If drafters were chasing Addison at the WR23 level where he finished in PPR last year, then he would be an easy “avoid.” Instead, the QB questions and Justin Jefferson’s healthy return have the second-year wideout going outside WR3 range. He’s a fine chance to take at that level.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Addison unsurprisingly benefited (in target count) from Justin Jefferson missing time.
    • The rookie averaged 4.9 targets and drew a 14.6% target share across seven full games shared with Jefferson.
    • That climbed to 7.0 targets per game and a 19.9% share over Addison’s other eight contests.
  • The rookie finished 31st among WRs in PPR points per game.
    • He tied for 26th in total targets.
    • He finished 29th in receptions and receiving yards.
    • He tied for fourth in TD catches.
  • Addison’s 14.3% TD rate and 17 games played pushed him to WR23 in total fantasy points. But the other stats show that his per-game average fell in line with his usage.
  • His 1.50 yards per route ranked just 55th among 96 WRs who drew at least 40 targets. That rate actually came in a little lower across eight games with Kirk Cousins than nine games without him.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Jefferson’s healthy return figures to challenge Addison’s target count. The 4.9 targets per game he averaged with Jefferson last year would have ranked just 63rd among WRs for the season.
  • TE T.J. Hockenson’s injury could help, though. Hockenson in April called his recovery a nine-month process. That would put him back in late September at the earliest. And how effective – or even involved – Hockenson will be upon his return probably won’t be clear until we see him on the field.
  • WR K.J. Osborn’s departure also leaves vacates 11.9% of last year’s targets. Addison should soak up at least some of that and could take on a large portion of it. The WR depth chart looks weak behind him and Jefferson.
    • Brandon Powell (29 in September) looks like the lead candidate for the No. 3 role. He has yet to reach 30 receptions in an NFL season.
    • Trent Sherfield was the biggest WR addition. He sports 78 total receptions across six NFL campaigns.
  • Aaron Jones upgrades the backfield and adds receiving ability there. But Vikings RBs have collectively ranked 24th and 23rd in receptions in O’Connell’s two seasons. We’re not betting on Jones’ arrival taking a noticeable share of targets away from WRs.
  • The QB is a question mark. J.J. McCarthy's season-ending knee injury leaves Sam Darnold as the guy. Darnold has drawn positive reviews this summer ... but he has also delivered plenty of regular-season struggles since the Jets drafted him.
    • Minnesota at least clearly believes him to be an upgrade over the Joshua Dobbs-Nick Mullens-Jaren Hall mess the Vikings dealt with last year after Cousins went down.
  • This has also been a pass-favoring offense under O’Connell. Over his two seasons, the Vikings have ranked seventh in neutral-situation pass rate, according to RBSDM.com.
    • Even after Cousins went down last year, Minnesota still ranked 11th from Week 9 on – a stretch that included Jefferson missing four games and playing a limited role in another.

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Jordan Addison, WR MIN

1:09pm EDT 10/6/24

Jordan Addison Heavily Targeted Against Jets Defense

With a focus on Vikings WR Justin Jefferson by the Jets defense in the second half, Jordan Addison became a target hog getting eight targets resulting in three catches for 36 yards.

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Vikings WR Jordan Addison (ankle) is not listed on the final Week 4 injury report. He practiced all week, including a full workout on Friday. Addison still carries some added risk coming off a multi-week ankle injury, but he lands in low-end WR3 territory in the Week 4 Rankings.

View all Jordan Addison Shark Bites »

Vikings WR Jordan Addison (ankle) put in a limited practice on Wednesday. It was his first practice since going down in the opener and should put him on track to return for this weekend's game vs. the Packers. We'll keep tabs on Addison's progress over the next few days. He sits in low-end WR3 territory in the Week 4 Rankings.

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Vikings WR Jordan Addison (ankle) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Texans. His absence last week turned WR Jalen Nailor into a full-time player. He ran a route on 97% of pass plays, catching three of four targets for 54 yards and a score. He's in play as a WR4 in deep fantasy leagues.

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Vikings WR Jordan Addison (ankle) did not practice on Thursday. He's looking unlikely to play vs. the Texans this weekend. We'll let you know how Addison is listed on the final injury report on Friday afternoon.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Jordan Addison, WR MIN
Dynasty MVP 33.2
Position Rank #36 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
305
508
944
Dynasty Write-up
Addison's rookie season was a clear success (70-911-10). But barring a major surprise, Justin Jefferson will stick around on a long-term deal. So Addison will project as a long-term No. 2... with a young, unproven QB.
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