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George Kittle - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsGeorge Kittle’s Basic Stats

George Kittle
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 7
Age: 31.1
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 250
40 Time: 4.52
Speed Score: 117.70

SPARQx (Rank): 124.10 (91%)
Burst Score (Rank): 127.30 (90%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.83 (99%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.35 (95%)

George Kittle's Weekly Outlook

Week 12 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.8 47.4 0.32 6.5
Weekly Writeup
Kittle missed Week 11 with a hamstring, but he's on track to return against Green Bay. Provided Brock Purdy (shoulder) plays, Kittle can be trusted as a high-end TE1. If Purdy sits, the TE will project as more of a low-end TE1.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.6 59.9 0.4 8.4

George Kittle's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Tight End

192.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 68 872.4 6.21 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsGeorge Kittle's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Kittle turns 31 in October but has shown no signs of decline. He led all TEs in yards per route and Pro Football Focus receiving grade last year, finishing seventh at the position in PPR points per game.

He returns to a very similar situation this season with HC Kyle Shanahan and QB Brock Purdy.

Kittle will never be the most consistent week-to-week producer, which makes him more valuable in best-ball leagues. But he’s a good bet for another top-eight fantasy finish this season.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Kittle ranked sixth among TEs in total PPR points and seventh in PPR points per game last year.
  • He played each of San Francisco’s first 16 games, only sitting out a meaningless regular-season finale.
  • Kittle was a volatile weekly producer.
    • He finished as a top-5 PPR TE in seven weeks. Only Sam LaPorta had more top-5 weeks.
    • But Kittle ranked outside the top 20 seven times.
    • He finished TE8 in his other two games.
  • Kittle’s ranks among TEs:
    • 9th in targets
    • 10th in catches
    • 1st in yards
    • Tied for 2nd in TDs
  • Kittle averaged a career-high 15.7 yards per catch. That led all 45 qualifying TEs – a full two yards ahead of the No. 2 TE (Isaiah Likely).
  • Kittle’s 9.9-yard average target depth ranked second among those 45 TEs.
  • He tied for fourth with 7.3 yards after the catch per reception.
  • Kittle led all 45 qualifying TEs with 2.22 yards per route run.
  • He also led that group in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Kittle revealed after the season that he suffered a core-muscle injury in Week 9 or 10. He underwent surgery but expects to be ready for the start of training camp.
  • Durability is the biggest concern here.
    • Kittle missed 15 games over the four seasons prior to last year with two knee injuries, a foot fracture, a calf injury, and a groin injury.
    • Our Injury Predictor gives him an 80.6% chance of injury and 2.0 projected games missed this season.
  • Kittle will turn 31 in October. Our aging-curve data says to expect 80-85% of peak production from a 31-year-old TE – down just slightly from age-30.
  • Kittle has shown no signs of decline. On top of leading his position in yards per route and PFF receiving grade last year, Kittle also averaged a career-best 11.3 yards per target.
  • Kittle returns to a very similar situation this year.
    • Kyle Shanahan is back for his eighth season as 49ers HC.
    • QB Brock Purdy returns for year 3 and his second as full-time starter.
    • WR Deebo Samuel, WR Brandon Aiyuk, and RB Christian McCaffrey also return.
    • The biggest change to San Francisco’s offense is the addition of first-round rookie WR Ricky Pearsall. Don’t expect him to significantly impact Kittle’s volume or production.
  • Like the rest of San Francisco’s passing game, Kittle is likely in for some regression this season. Purdy averaged an absurd 9.6 yards per pass attempt with a 7.0% TD rate last year.
  • But Kittle remains a strong bet for high-end fantasy production. His ranks in PPR points per game the last six seasons:
    • 2018 - 3rd
    • 2019 - 2nd
    • 2020 - 3rd
    • 2021 - 3rd
    • 2022 - 2nd
    • 2023 - 7th

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

George Kittle, TE SF

11 hours ago

George Kittle Will Play Week 12

49ers TE George Kittle (hamstring) practiced all week and isn’t listed on the final injury report for Sunday’s game vs. the Packers. He should be ready for a full slate of snaps but downgrades to mid- to low-end TE1 status without QB Brock Purdy.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

49ers QB Brock Purdy (shoulder) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Packers. His injured right shoulder evidently didn't progress throughout the week as the team had hoped. GM John Lynch said Friday that an MRI on the shoulder didn't show anything concerning, so we're not expecting this to be a long-term absence. But Purdy's absence this weekend leaves QB Brandon Allen as San Francisco's expected starter. Allen has been with the 'Niners since May 2023 but has not attempted a regular-season pass for them. He completed just 57% of his passes at 6.1 yards per attempt in limited action for the Broncos and Bengals from 2019-2022. Allen is clearly a significant downgrade for all San Francisco pass catchers. Expect the team to lean heavily on RB Christian McCaffrey on Sunday.

View all Brock Purdy Shark Bites »

49ers GM John Lynch said Friday morning that QB Brock Purdy had an MRI on his right shoulder. "Feel good about where it is from that standpoint," Lynch said. But he stopped short of saying that Purdy will play vs. the Packers this weekend. "Brock will show up here today, see where he goes from practice, go forth accordingly," Lynch said. He added that QB Brandon Allen would get the start if Purdy is out but that QB Josh Dobbs would also "be ready." We'll update Purdy's status again this afternoon.

View all Brock Purdy Shark Bites »

49ers QB Brock Purdy (shoulder) was officially limited again in Thursday's practice. According to insider Grant Cohn, Purdy tried to warm up at the start of practice but was clearly uncomfortable and then headed inside with trainers. "He was still limited today," HC Kyle Shanahan said afterward. "He didn't do as much yesterday but did a little bit more today. He went out there and did a little bit then went back in about halfway through and rested up. Hopefully it will be feeling great on Sunday." We're certainly more worried about Purdy's Week 12 status now than we were at this point yesterday. We'll update the situation again on Friday. QB Brandon Allen would likely get the start vs. the Packers this weekend if Purdy is out.

View all Brock Purdy Shark Bites »

49ers TE George Kittle (hamstring) was limited in Wednesday's practice. He said afterward that he fully expects to play against the Packers this weekend. Kittle can be penciled back into Week 12 fantasy lineups. We'll let you know if something changes with his status.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

George Kittle, TE SF
Dynasty MVP 32.8
Position Rank #7 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
267
410
614
Dynasty Write-up
Kittle stayed healthy in 2023, helping produce 65-1,020-6 alongside an improved Brock Purdy. The TE is under contract through the 2025 season.
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