Open Nav
Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Dawson Knox - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDawson Knox’s Basic Stats

Dawson Knox
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 5
Age: 28.1
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 254
40 Time: 4.64
Speed Score: 109.00

SPARQx (Rank): 109.90 (64%)
Burst Score (Rank): 121.40 (71%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.39 (72%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.14 (77%)

Dawson Knox's Weekly Outlook

Week 16 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.3 15.3 0.16 2.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.4 15.3 0.2 2.6

Dawson Knox's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#39 Tight End

72.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 26.4 287.8 2.89 1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDawson Knox's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Knox’s career TD rate of 12.8% is excellent.

There’s a chance he pops as a TD scorer in 2024 – just as he did in in 2022 or 2021.

But there’s no predictable volume to chase here, especially with Dalton Kincaid’s arrow pointing straight up. Only consider Knox late in FFPC (TE premium) drafts.

What We Learned Last Year

  • The Bills added TE Dalton Kincaid in Round 1 of the 2023 draft.
  • Knox fractured his wrist in Week 5.
    • He eventually underwent surgery, forcing five missed games.
  • Prior to the injury, Knox totaled only 8 catches for 58 yards and 1 score.
    • Upon returning, he scored twice in a five-game sample, with one surfacing in the postseason.
    • He never topped 3 targets over that stretch.
  • The Bills switched OC’s mid-year in 2023.
    • OC Joe Brady, who returns for 2024, leaned more on the run than former playcaller Ken Dorsey.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Knox took a pay cut in March.
  • The Bills lost Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis over the offseason.
    • They remove 241 targets from the 2023 offense.
    • Buffalo showed no indication of running out more 2-TE sets, adding Curtis Samuel and spending an early Round 2 pick on Keon Coleman.
    • Note: Buffalo ranked mid-pack in 12 personnel (2-TE) usage in 2023.
  • Khalil Shair returns for year three with clear potential for a larger role.

Adjust Dawson Knox's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and 3D Value based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Dalton Kincaid, TE BUF

12:21am EST 12/16/24

Dalton Kincaid Ties for Target Lead in Return

Bills TE Dalton Kincaid returned from a three-game knee injury for Sunday's win over the Lions. He drew 7 targets to tie WR Khalil Shakir for the team lead. Kincaid caught four of them for 53 yards. But he also trailed Dawson Knox in playing time.

View Full Story »

Bills TE Dalton Kincaid (knee) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Rams. That again leaves Dawson Knox as Buffalo’s lead TE. He’s registered 82% and 68% route rates with Kincaid out the last two games and is a viable spot starter today against the Rams’ 20th-ranked TE defense.

View all Dalton Kincaid Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dalton Kincaid (knee) is not expected to play vs. the Rams today, NFL Network reports. Kincaid returned to limited practices this week but evidently isn't ready for game action yet. We're tentatively expecting him back for Week 15's showdown with the Lions. Kincaid's absence today keeps TE Dawson Knox in play as a spot-start option against the Rams' 20th-ranked TE defense.

View all Dalton Kincaid Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dalton Kincaid (knee) was limited in practice all week and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game vs. the Rams. It looks like he’d be at less than 100% if he ends up playing. We’d try to avoid Kincaid in Week 14 fantasy lineups. If he ends up sitting, TE Dawson Knox would be a viable low-end TE1.

View all Dalton Kincaid Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dalton Kincaid (knee) is out for Sunday night’s game vs. the 49ers. He didn’t practice all week and didn’t seem close to playing in this one, leaving him iffy for Week 14. Kincaid’s absence will again leave Dawson Knox as Buffalo’s lead TE. He posted a 4-40-0 line on six targets and an 82% route rate last time out. But he doesn’t crack TE1 territory in the Week 13 Rankings against the 49ers’ sixth-ranked TE defense.

View all Dalton Kincaid Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Dawson Knox, TE BUF
Dynasty MVP -14
Position Rank #43 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
144
223
376
Dynasty Write-up
Knox is under contract through the 2026 season, but we'd bet against him making it that far in Buffalo. Dalton Kincaid became a year-one success alongside Josh Allen. Knox, meanwhile, missed a significant amount of time following wrist surgery.
Compare Plans » Compare Plans »
THE 2024 ROOKIE GUIDE IS HERE! UPDATED POST-DRAFT
Trade Values • Model Scores • Analytics • Sleepers • Busts & More