Dallas Goedert - Fantasy Points Outlook

Bottom Line

Durability remained an issue for Goedert in 2023.

He’s back healthy for the summer, but questions remain surrounding his fantasy upside.

Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith have limited the scoring ceiling. This offseason, Philadelphia added another TD threat in Saquon Barkley.

Another 80+ targets are in play – plenty to provide a low-end TE1 floor. Just consider a finish beyond there a bonus.

What We Learned Last Year

• Goedert’s sat out eight games over the past two seasons.
  • He missed time with a fractured shoulder in '22 and a fractured forearm in '23.
• The Eagles were not a pass-heavy offense, finishing 23rd in pass rate.
• A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith stayed healthy, further limiting Goedert’s fantasy appeal.
• In 14 games, the 29-year-old ranked 12th in PPR points per game.
  • Goedert finished as a top-10 TE four times.
  • He slotted 20th or worse in seven weeks.
• Goedert posted career lows in yards per catch (9.7), yards after catch per reception (5.2), and yards per route run (1.30).
• He continued to underwhelm as a TD scorer with 3.
  • Jalen Hurts’ goal line rushing certainly played a role.
  • Goedert managed only 3 targets inside the 10 yard-line. 25 TEs beat that mark.

What to Expect in 2024

• Philly returns Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith.
• The Eagles are breaking in a new OC in Kellen Moore.
  • He spent last season as the Chargers’ play-caller.
  • They ranked 18th in total yards and 21st in points, although several key injuries hamstrung the offense.
  • TEs combined for a 21.7% target share, a mid-pack finish.
  • Moore’s presence should produce a bit more passing, but don’t expect a pass-happy attack.
• C.J. Uzomah projects as Philly's TE2. His arrival doesn't impact Goedert's fantasy outlook.
• Goedert’s TD upside remains limited by Hurts, Brown, and Smith.
  • Philly also invested in free agent Saquon Barkley, the owner of 47 career TDs.