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Alvin Kamara - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAlvin Kamara’s Basic Stats

Alvin Kamara
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 7
Age: 29.3
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.56

SPARQx (Rank): 106.80 (39%)
Burst Score (Rank): 132.70 (96%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.59 (29%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.17

Alvin Kamara's Weekly Outlook

Week 16 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
39 0.2 2.5 16.7 0.1 7.1

Alvin Kamara's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#5 Running Back

268.7 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 255.7 1047.5 6.35 1 1.6 68.1 485.9 2.06

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAlvin Kamara's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Leading RBs in receptions last year gave Kamara a huge PPR boost, a trend that should continue as long as Derek Carr is still the QB.

He is currently being drafted as an RB2 in PPR, which is in line with our 2024 RB rankings.

Kendre Miller could get more work now that he is fully healthy, but the receptions should keep Kamara afloat.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Kamara’s 1,160 total yards ranked 19th among RBs. His 75 catches ranked second among RBs.
  • He was suspended for the first three games of the season for violating the league's personal conduct policy. He also missed the final game of the season due to a sprained ankle.
  • Kamara ranked as the PPR RB12 in total fantasy points and fourth in points per game.
    • He finished RB12 or better four times. He recorded six games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 26th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 48.3%.
  • Kamara played 63% of the Saints’ offensive snaps last season.
  • In his 13 games, he averaged:
    • 13.8 carries
    • 53.4 rushing yards
    • 0.38 rushing TDs
    • 6.62 targets (15.52% share)
    • 5.77 catches
    • 35.8 receiving yards
    • 0.08 receiving TDs
  • Among 49 RBs with 90+ carries last year, Kamara ranked:
    • 25th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 44th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 46th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • Kamara continued to shine as a receiver out of the backfield. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, he ranked:
    • 5th in PFF receiving grade
    • 7th in yards after catch
    • 3rd in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • Kamara enters his third season under HC Dennis Allen.
  • New OC Klint Kubiak spent last year as the 49ers' passing game coordinator.
    • In Kubiak’s last OC stint for the Vikings in 2021, the team was 16th in the league in rush attempts (449).
  • The Saints are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Saints have the 25th-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +8000 on most sportsbooks, third-highest in the division.
  • Kamara enters his eighth season at 29 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Kamara’s career produces between 70-80% of his peak value at age-29.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Alvin Kamara, RB NO

7 hours ago

Saints Rule Alvin Kamara Out vs. Packers

The Saints have ruled RB Alvin Kamara out for Monday night's game against the Packers because of his groin injury. That comes as no surprise and aligns with what HC Darren Rizzi indicated earlier this week.

View Full Story »

Interim HC Darren Rizzi commented that RB Alvin Kamara's groin injury is more serious than they initially thought. He also said that it doesn't look good for Kamara to return this week. If Kamara can't go, RB Kendre Miller will likely be the lead back for the Saints against the Packers on Monday Night Football.

Update: ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that, while Kamara is still being evaluated, his injury could be season-ending.

View Full Story »

The Saints signed RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire to the practice squad. It could be a sign that they're expecting to be without RB Alvin Kamara (groin) for Monday night's game vs. the Packers. Edwards-Helaire did not touch the ball for the Chiefs this season after averaging just 3.2 yards per carry last year. He won't be a fantasy factor the rest of this season. RB Kendre Miller remains a good bet to control backfield work if Kamara misses time.

View all Clyde Edwards-Helaire Shark Bites »

Saints RB Alvin Kamara is considered "day-to-day" with the groin injury he suffered in Sunday's loss to the Commanders, according to insider Nick Underhill. Kamara had an MRI after the game, which evidently revealed a relatively minor injury. He has an extra day to get ready for next Monday night's game vs. the Packers. We'll track his status throughout the week. Kamara's absence would leave Kendre Miller as New Orleans' lead back.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Alvin Kamara, RB NO
Dynasty MVP 32
Position Rank #29 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
412
580
696
Dynasty Write-up
Despite another strong receiving season, Kamara set a career-low in rushing yards in 2023 (694). He signed a two-year contract extension in October 2024, keeping him under team control through the 2026 season.
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