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Alvin Kamara - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAlvin Kamara’s Basic Stats

Alvin Kamara
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 7
Age: 29.3
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.56

SPARQx (Rank): 106.80 (39%)
Burst Score (Rank): 132.70 (96%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.59 (29%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.17

Alvin Kamara's Weekly Outlook

Week 12 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
71.2 0.5 4 26.9 0.1 13

Alvin Kamara's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#6 Running Back

290 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 280.9 1150.2 7.35 1 1.7 71.2 498.4 2.21

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAlvin Kamara's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Leading RBs in receptions last year gave Kamara a huge PPR boost, a trend that should continue as long as Derek Carr is still the QB.

He is currently being drafted as an RB2 in PPR, which is in line with our 2024 RB rankings.

Kendre Miller could get more work now that he is fully healthy, but the receptions should keep Kamara afloat.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Kamara’s 1,160 total yards ranked 19th among RBs. His 75 catches ranked second among RBs.
  • He was suspended for the first three games of the season for violating the league's personal conduct policy. He also missed the final game of the season due to a sprained ankle.
  • Kamara ranked as the PPR RB12 in total fantasy points and fourth in points per game.
    • He finished RB12 or better four times. He recorded six games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 26th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 48.3%.
  • Kamara played 63% of the Saints’ offensive snaps last season.
  • In his 13 games, he averaged:
    • 13.8 carries
    • 53.4 rushing yards
    • 0.38 rushing TDs
    • 6.62 targets (15.52% share)
    • 5.77 catches
    • 35.8 receiving yards
    • 0.08 receiving TDs
  • Among 49 RBs with 90+ carries last year, Kamara ranked:
    • 25th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 44th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 46th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • Kamara continued to shine as a receiver out of the backfield. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, he ranked:
    • 5th in PFF receiving grade
    • 7th in yards after catch
    • 3rd in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • Kamara enters his third season under HC Dennis Allen.
  • New OC Klint Kubiak spent last year as the 49ers' passing game coordinator.
    • In Kubiak’s last OC stint for the Vikings in 2021, the team was 16th in the league in rush attempts (449).
  • The Saints are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Saints have the 25th-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +8000 on most sportsbooks, third-highest in the division.
  • Kamara enters his eighth season at 29 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Kamara’s career produces between 70-80% of his peak value at age-29.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Alvin Kamara, RB NO

8:00pm EST 11/10/24

Alvin Kamara Dominates Work Again

Saints RB Alvin Kamara easily led the team in both carries and targets for the second straight game Sunday. He handled 17 of New Orleans' 19 RB carries (89.5%), though he gained just 55 yards (3.2 per rush). Kamara's 6 targets doubled his nearest teammate, and he also led the way with 5 receptions.

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Saints RB Jamaal Williams (groin) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Falcons. Jordan Mims will be the No. 2 RB. But look for another busy outing for RB Alvin Kamara, with TE Taysom Hill mixing in for a handful of carries.

View all Jamaal Williams Shark Bites »

Saints RB Jamaal Williams (groin) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Falcons. Interim HC Darren Rizzi said Friday that Williams aggravated his groin injury in practice this week and is unlikely to play. Jordan Mims will serve as No. 2 RB on paper again, but TE Taysom Hill is the second-best bet for carries behind workhorse Alvin Kamara.

View all Jamaal Williams Shark Bites »

RB Alvin Kamara accounted for 215 scrimmage yards in Sunday's loss to the Panthers. He handled 29 of the team's 41 rushing attempts, averaging 5.3 yards per carry en route to 155 on the ground. Kamara also led the Saints in targets (9), receptions (6), and receiving yards (60). He ceded the team's TDs to Taysom Hill (rushing) and Foster Moreau (receiving).

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The Saints have placed RB Kendre Miller (hamstring) on IR. That’ll knock him out for games against the Panthers, Falcons, Browns, and Rams. New Orleans promoted RB Jordan Mims to the active roster in a corresponding move. With Jamaal Williams also out for Sunday, Alvin Kamara will remain busy. Taysom Hill might rank second on the team in carries and presents some fantasy value in leagues where he carries TE eligibility.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Alvin Kamara, RB NO
Dynasty MVP 27.1
Position Rank #33 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
306
430
516
Dynasty Write-up
Despite another strong receiving season, Kamara set a career-low in rushing yards in 2023 (694). He signed a two-year contract extension in October 2024, keeping him under team control through the 2026 season.
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