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Josh Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJosh Allen’s Basic Stats

Josh Allen
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 6
Age: 28.5
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 237
40 Time: 4.75

SPARQx (Rank): 96.70 (72%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.10 (78%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.30 (71%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 62.00 (100%)

Josh Allen's Weekly Outlook

Week 12 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
228.6 1.5 0.7 37.9 20.5

Josh Allen's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#2 Quarterback

352.3 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 351.1/546.7 3993.6 27.5 12.3 119.3 597.8 5.1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Allen has finished as a top-3 fantasy QB in four straight seasons.

The Stefon Diggs trade removes his biggest producer in each of those standout campaigns. But in our eyes, the Bills will be OK with new arrivals Keon Coleman and Curtis Samuel. Plus, Allen’s rushing remains a key fantasy driver.

We’d be surprised if he falls outside of the top-3 fantasy QBs.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Allen finished as the QB1 in total fantasy points (473.7) and points per game (27.9).
    • He tied for the league-league in top-5 fantasy finishes (nine).
    • He finished worse than QB14 only twice.
  • He didn’t miss a game due to injury for the fifth straight season.
  • Allen’s, completion rate, yards per attempt, TD rate, and passing success rate all fell in line with career norms.
    • His 3.1% INT rate marked his highest figure since 2018. That turned into a career-high 18 picks.
  • Allen played behind a cohesive O-line that ranked sixth in ESPN’s pass-block win rate; ninth in Pro Football Focus' pass-blocking grades.
  • Buffalo swapped out OC/playcaller Ken Dorsey for Joe Brady in Week 11.
    • Allen averaged 4.8 rushes per game with Dorsey; 9.2 under Brady.
  • In total, Allen set a career-high with 15 rushing TDs. Allen’s 21 rushes inside the ten yard-line were topped by only 14 ball carriers.
  • Overall, Buffalo’s approach tilted towards the run game under Brady. The Bills ranked near the bottom of the league in pass rate over expected in Brady’s nine-game sample.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Buffalo traded Stefon Diggs in April.
    • The 30-year-old has hit 154 targets and 8+ TDs in all four seasons with the Bills.
  • The Bills spent an early Round 2 pick on FSU WR Keon Coleman.
    • Only 21, Coleman brings much-needed size to the WR corps – especially after the departure of Gabe Davis.
    • He's a ball-winner at 6'3, 213 pounds. While his timed speed underwhelmed (4.61), his play speed suggests he can eventually thrive in a starting role.
  • A mostly returning O-line remains solid heading into September.
    • Allen's bookended by a massive tackle duo of Dion Dawkins and Spencer Brown.
  • Joe Brady enters his first full season as Bills’ OC.
    • Brady drew a HC interview with Atlanta but returns for his third season with Buffalo. He adds an element of continuity for Allen.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Josh Allen, QB BUF

7:53pm EDT 10/27/24

Josh Allen Dominates Through the Air Against Seahawks

Bills QB Josh Allen competed 24-of-34 passes for 286 yards and two TDs. He also threw an interception in the game. With RB James Cook dominating on the ground, Allen did his damage in the passing game, only rushing for 25 yards in the contest.

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WR Amari Cooper was traded from the Cleveland Browns to the Buffalo Bills. The Browns received third- and seventh-round picks while giving up Cooper and a sixth rounder. Cooper, the top WR for the Browns, will slot in as the Bills' No. 1 WR once he settles into the offense.

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Bills WR Khalil Shakir (ankle) did not practice on Thursday. He still has a few days to get ready for Monday night's game vs. the Jets, but consider him no better than 50/50 for that one. QB Josh Allen missed Shakir last week, completing just nine of 30 passes in the loss to the Texans. We'll see if Shakir gets back on the field tomorrow.

View all Khalil Shakir Shark Bites »

Bills QB Josh Allen completed just nine of 30 passes for 131 yards and one TD in the Week 5 loss to the Texans. The majority of that production came on a 49-yard score to WR Keon Coleman. Otherwise, Allen mustered just 82 scoreless passing yards. The nine completions were his fewest in a full game since his 2018 rookie campaign. It was just his fifth career game with fewer than 140 passing yards. Allen at least added 54 rushing yards on four carries. He went for a concussion check after his head slammed against the turf in the fourth quarter, but Allen was evidently cleared and did not miss an offensive snap.

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Bills QB Josh Allen completed 16 of 29 passes for 180 yards. He also ran five times for 21 yards. The Ravens defense blitzed Allen often and got pressure on him throughout the game.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Josh Allen, QB BUF
Dynasty MVP 52.6
Position Rank #1 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
991
1,602
3,065
Dynasty Write-up
2023 turned up a career-high in rushing TDs...and declines in passing yards per game and passing TDs per game. Allen is under contract through the 2028 season but lost Stefon Diggs to an April trade to Houston. Keon Coleman arrived as a big-bodied target with red zone chops. A mid-season trade for Amari Cooper brought another reinforcement.
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