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Adonai Mitchell - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAdonai Mitchell’s Basic Stats

Adonai Mitchell
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 0
Age: 22.2
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 205
40 Time: 4.34

Burst Score (Rank): 135.20 (96%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.29 (92%)

Adonai Mitchell's Weekly Outlook

Week 17 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0.9 12.4 0.08 1.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.5 34.7 0.2 4.8

Adonai Mitchell's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#107 Wide Receiver

90.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 31.2 429.2 2.63 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAdonai Mitchell's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Viewed as a potential first-round pick, Mitchell surprisingly fell to the mid-second round as the 11th WR off the board.

He has the potential to replace Alec Pierce (who was on the field for 95% of snaps last year) and at least be on the field enough to have a few big plays.

His upside as a 99th-percentile athlete is intriguing as an end-of-roster dart throw.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Mitchell was selected by the Colts with the 52nd overall pick of the 2024 NFL Draft.
  • He played two years at Georgia and his final year at Texas.
  • Mitchell posted career-best numbers at Texas:
    • 86 targets
    • 55 catches
    • 845 receiving yards
    • 11 receiving TDs
  • Mitchell’s breakout age at 20.9 is 38th percentile among drafted WRs.
  • He was near the top of the leaderboards in the Big 12:
    • 12th in yards per game (60.4)
    • 15th in receptions per game (3.9)
    • 16th in yards per catch (15.36)
  • Mitchell was named Big 12 Offensive Newcomer of the Year and second-team All-Big 12.
  • He measured in at 6'1, 205 pounds at the NFL Combine and registered an outstanding 4.34 40-yard time.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Mitchell enters his first season with the Colts under HC and play-caller Shane Steichen and OC Jim Bob Cooter.
  • The Colts are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit 20th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +6000 on most sportsbooks, third highest in the division.
  • Mitchell enters his first season at 21 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Mitchell’s profile will produce at 80% of his peak value at age-21.
  • No. 1 WR Michael Pittman and slot receiver Josh Downs are likely locked into their roles. That leaves Mitchell to battle with Alec Pierce for the other outside WR spot.
    • Among 80 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Pierce ranked 76th in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Alec Pierce, WR IND

1:19pm EST 12/20/24

Alec Pierce Out For Week 16

Colts WR Alec Pierce (concussion) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Titans. He leaves behind 4.1 targets per game, giving WRs Michael Pittman and Josh Downs slight boosts. WR Adonai Mitchell figures to soak up most of Pierce's snaps but is only viable in DFS tournaments.

View all Alec Pierce Shark Bites »

Colts WR Alec Pierce sustained a concussion in the first half of Sunday's game vs. the Broncos and won't return. It's his second documented concussion. We'll track his progress through the protocol this coming week. Pierce's absence means a boost in snaps for WR Adonai Mitchell.

View all Alec Pierce Shark Bites »

Colts WR Alec Pierce (foot) is listed as questionable for this weekend's game vs. the Patriots. He missed the first two practices of the week but returned to a full workout on Friday. That should have him on track to play on Sunday, but we'll get Indianapolis' inactives around 11:30 am ET. WRs Josh Downs (shoulder) and Ashton Dulin (ankle) are both out, which will mean a big boost in playing time for WR Adonai Mitchell.

View all Alec Pierce Shark Bites »

Colts WR Alec Pierce (foot) did not practice on Wednesday. We don't have any details on his foot injury. WR Josh Downs (shoulder) is not expected to play vs. the Patriots this weekend, while WR Ashton Dulin (ankle) also missed Wednesday's practice. That leaves Michael Pittman, Adonai Mitchell, and Anthony Gould as the three healthy WRs on Indianapolis' active roster.

View all Alec Pierce Shark Bites »

Colts WR Josh Downs is considered "week to week" with the shoulder injury he suffered in Sunday's loss to the Lions and is a "long shot" to play against the Patriots this weekend, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "But the belief is he did not suffer a major injury," Rapoport adds.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Adonai Mitchell, WR IND
Dynasty MVP 27
Position Rank #53 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
400
677
1,345
Dynasty Write-up
Credit Mitchell for tallying 29-426-4 as a true freshman at Georgia (2021). After a quiet 2022, Mitchell transferred to Texas in 2023 to live close to family. What followed: A strong 55-845-11 line amid a loaded WR corps. Mitchell brings plus size and advanced route-running – ingredients for red-zone success with the Colts. Still, his overall profile screams boom/bust.
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