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Playoff Rankings

The 1st step to winning your playoff-long fantasy league is nailing who will advance in each round and eventually meet in the Super Bowl. More games = more fantasy points.

To help with that, let’s turn to Vegas. Here are the current odds for each team to reach the Super Bowl (courtesy of the DraftKings sportsbook):

AFC:

Ravens -110

Chiefs +200

Patriots +650

Texans +2000

Titans +2500

Bills +2800

NFC:

49ers +150

Saints +240

Packers +400

Eagles +1200

Seahawks +1200

Vikings +1600

The #1 seeds in both conferences are the favorites to reach the Super Bowl. But the Chiefs and Saints aren’t far behind. We’d recommend basing your playoff picks on some combination of those 4 teams meeting in Miami on February 2.

The rankings below are based on a Ravens-Saints Super Bowl.

We’re not betting against the Ravens at home, where they went 7-1 and out-scored their opponents 239 to 149 this year.

The NFC feels like a dead heat between the upstart ‘Niners and the seasoned Saints. We’re leaning toward the experience of HC Sean Payton and QB Drew Brees, though. And the reward for correctly picking the Saints as the NFC champion is amplified because you’ll get 4 games out of their players.

The 2nd step to winning your playoff league is choosing the right players based on matchups. The charts below show where each defense ranked vs. each position in Adjusted Fantasy Points allowed through 16 weeks. The higher the number, the worse that defense fared defending that position.

AFC

NFC

The rankings below are based on half-PPR scoring and that Ravens-Saints Super Bowl matchup. If your scoring is different, or you’re projecting a different Super Bowl, make the necessary adjustments to the rankings.

And, as always, feel free to email us questions at info@draftsharks.com.

Top 50 Overall

1. Michael Thomas
2. Alvin Kamara
3. Lamar Jackson
4. Drew Brees
5. Tyreek Hill
6. George Kittle
7. Travis Kelce
8. Mark Ingram (questionable, calf)
9. Damien Williams
10. Raheem Mostert
11. Julian Edelman
12. Patrick Mahomes
13. Jared Cook
14. Mark Andrews
15. Devin Singletary
16. Sony Michel
17. D.K. Metcalf
18. DeAndre Hopkins
19. John Brown
20. Aaron Jones
21. Derrick Henry
22. Deebo Samuel
23. Tyler Lockett
24. Dallas Goedert
25. Dalvin Cook
26. Latavius Murray
27. Jimmy Garoppolo
28. Davante Adams
29. Marquise Brown
30. Emmanuel Sanders
31. Miles Sanders
32. James White
33. Carlos Hyde
34. Cole Beasley
35. Stefon Diggs
36. Adam Thielen
37. A.J. Brown
38. Russell Wilson
39. Josh Allen
40. Tom Brady
41. Jacob Hollister
42. Travis Homer
43. Rex Burkhead
44. Tre’Quan Smith
45. Sammy Watkins
46. Deshaun Watson
47. Carson Wentz
48. Marshawn Lynch
49. Zach Ertz (questionable, rib/kidney)
50. Jonnu Smith

QBs

1. Lamar Jackson
2. Drew Brees
3. Patrick Mahomes
4. Jimmy Garoppolo
5. Russell Wilson
6. Josh Allen
7. Tom Brady
8. Deshaun Watson
9. Carson Wentz
10. Aaron Rodgers
11. Ryan Tannehill
12. Kirk Cousins

RBs

1. Alvin Kamara
2. Mark Ingram (questionable, calf)
3. Damien Williams
4. Raheem Mostert
5. Devin Singletary
6. Sony Michel
7. Aaron Jones
8. Derrick Henry
9. Dalvin Cook
10. Latavius Murray
11. Miles Sanders
12. James White
13. Carlos Hyde
14. Travis Homer
15. Rex Burkhead
16. Marshawn Lynch
17. Boston Scott
18. Jamaal Williams (questionable, shoulder)
19. Gus Edwards
20. Tevin Coleman
21. Matt Breida
22. Duke Johnson
23. LeSean McCoy
24. Darwin Thompson
25. Jordan Howard
26. Justice Hill
27. Alexander Mattison
28. Frank Gore
29. Dion Lewis
30. Mike Boone

WRs

1. Michael Thomas
2. Tyreek Hill
3. Julian Edelman
4. D.K. Metcalf
5. DeAndre Hopkins
6. John Brown
7. Deebo Samuel
8. Tyler Lockett
9. Davante Adams
10. Marquise Brown
11. Emmanuel Sanders
12. Cole Beasley
13. Stefon Diggs
14. Adam Thielen
15. A.J. Brown
16. Tre’Quan Smith
17. Sammy Watkins
18. Kenny Stills
19. Ted Ginn
20. N’Keal Harry
21. Mohamed Sanu
22. Greg Ward
23. Will Fuller (questionable, groin)
24. Mecole Hardman
25. Demarcus Robinson
26. Kendrick Bourne
27. Allen Lazard
28. Willie Snead
29. Corey Davis
30. David Moore
31. Phillip Dorsett
32. Geronimo Allison

TEs

1. George Kittle
2. Travis Kelce
3. Jared Cook
4. Mark Andrews
5. Dallas Goedert
6. Jacob Hollister
7. Zach Ertz (questionable, rib/kidney)
8. Jonnu Smith
9. Kyle Rudolph
10. Hayden Hurst
11. Dawson Knox
12. Darren Fells
13. Jordan Akins
14. Ben Watson
15. Matt LaCosse
16. Jimmy Graham
17. Irv Smith

Ks

1. Wil Lutz
2. Justin Tucker
3. Harrison Butker
4. Robbie Gould
5. Nick Folk
6. Jason Myers
7. Stephen Hauschka
8. Jake Elliott
9. Ka’imi Fairbairn
10. Mason Crosby
11. Dan Bailey
12. Greg Joseph

DSTs

1. Ravens
2. Saints
3. 49ers
4. Patriots
5. Chiefs
6. Bills
7. Seahawks
8. Texans
9. Eagles
10. Packers
11. Vikings
12. Titans

Alex Korff, Product Manager

Alex is an engineer by trade and focuses a lot on the game theory and the “value” of players. He spends most of his time in spreadsheets and building new fantasy football tools.