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MarShawn Lloyd Dynasty Value

By Shane Hallam | Updated on Wed, 24 Jul 2024 . 8:44 AM EDT
MarShawn Lloyd Dynasty Value: Can he maximize his intriguing potential in the pros?

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Lloyd enters the NFL with a lackluster profile … on paper. 

A devastating knee injury as a freshman sapped Lloyd of his athleticism early in college. He never rushed for 1,000 yards nor caught even 20 passes in a season. 

But after transferring to USC, Lloyd showed how his size and athleticism work to his advantage. Is this enough for him to become a fantasy asset?

Let’s take a look at Lloyd’s history and see how he projects to the NFL after landing in Green Bay …

       

MarShawn Lloyd Dynasty Values

Dynasty 1-qb Dynasty Superflex
Non-PPR 22.9 Non-PPR 15.0
PPR 24.6 PPR 14.7
TE Premium 24.0 TE Premium 14.8

To see MarShawn Lloyd's value for your exact league setup, check out our Dynasty Draft War Room.

       

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MarShawn Lloyd Draft Profile

Position: RB
Height: 5’8 3/4
Weight: 220
BMI:
32.5
Draft Age: 22.3
NFL Draft Pick: Round 3, Pick 24


Draft Sharks Model Score: 7.00
Analytics Score: 0.50
Film Score: 0.46
Production Score: 0.44

MarShawn Lloyd Combine Results

Wingspan Arm Length HAnd Size 40-yard Dash 10-yard split
73 5/8" 30 3/8" 8 3/4" 4.46 1.56
Bench Press Vertical Broad Jump 3-cone drill 20-yard shuttle
25 reps 36" 118" N/A N/A

 

Percentiles vs Combine RBs since 1999, per MockDraftable

       

MarShawn Lloyd College Stats

Carries Rush YDs Tds YPC Targets Catches Rec Yds Rec TDs
2021 (SCAR) 64 228 1 3.6 7 3 44 0
2022 (SCAR) 111 573 9 5.2 25 18 176 2
2023 116 820 9 7.1 18 13 232 0

Two-Sport Star in High School

Lloyd commuted from his home in Delaware to DeMatha Catholic High School in Maryland every day to play football and run track. 

Lloyd’s track success as a sprinter earned him early praise and accolades in the state. That success translated to the football field, where Lloyd led the team in rushing by his sophomore season.

The 211-pounder drew instant interest from college teams. He fielded offers from Alabama, USC, Ohio State, and others. Lloyd rated as a high four-star recruit – just ahead of Jahmyr Gibbs, among others.

Lloyd’s personal relationships with the South Carolina coaching staff led him to commit to the Gamecocks.

Unfortunately, Lloyd tore his left ACL before his freshman season and would redshirt that year. He struggled to get back to 100% in his second year, not earning much playing time.  

Lloyd Takes Backfield Lead

Lloyd was finally healthy for his third year and emerged as the best back on the roster. He helped lead an offensive resurgence, scoring TDs in six of nine games. 

Lloyd fulfilled the promise he had as a recruit and showed growth throughout the year. But he also missed multiple games with a quad contusion, which coincided with a collapse for the offense.

USC Transfer Reveals Upside

When the transfer portal opened after the season, Lloyd entered to try and improve his NFL Draft stock. USC head coach Lincoln Riley quickly scooped him up, and Lloyd won the starting job in camp.

The spread offense helped Lloyd, who had career highs in carries (116) and rushing yards (820). His 7.07 yards per carry ranked sixth in the nation among RBs with 100+ carries.  

Lloyd earned an 87.2 Pro Football Focus rushing grade, 45th among 157 FBS backs with 100+ carries.

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MarShawn Lloyd Highlights

Games watched: Georgia (2022), Texas A&M (2022), Colorado (2023) Arizona (2023), Notre Dame (2023), Utah (2023), Oregon (2023), UCLA (2023)

Lloyd’s highlight reel features his signature athleticism on big plays.

The big question, though: Can he be a lead NFL RB … or just a role player?

Lloyd is Explosive

Lloyd’s athleticism jumps out right off the snap. He gets up to full speed quickly with a burst through the line. At 220 pounds, he often takes the defense by surprise.

In the clip below, Lloyd doesn’t lose any speed as he navigates to the A gap before the LBs and safeties can get there.

MarShawn Lloyd quickly hits the hole vs. UCLA. His explosiveness off the snap will be key to his dynasty value.

This skill makes Lloyd an ideal fit in a spread scheme out of the shotgun, where he saw success at USC. The recent increase in NFL teams rushing out of the shotgun can only help Lloyd’s outlook and draft position.

Lloyd Hits the Home Run 

Every NFL team wants to find playmakers who can score with every touch. Lloyd fits that.

With his track background, Lloyd knows how to maintain his speed in a sprint. He does this even when taking a different angle. In the clip below, he uses the holes opened by the offensive line to navigate from the inside out while keeping his top speed.

MarShawn Lloyd finds the proper lane on this run. His ability to navigate while maintaining speed boosts his fantasy football value.

Lloyd’s film pops with numerous big runs when his blockers can get to the second level. His knowledge of reading defenses and setting up LBs and DBs to stack big plays is a trait many current NFL RBs lack.

Lloyd Punishes with His Size

We often see 215+ pound RBs with speed not understanding how to leverage their size. Lloyd does not fall into that category. 

Grinding short yardage is more than just pounding into the defense. In this clip, Lloyd utilizes his size to move the pile while keeping his feet moving. This makes him difficult to tackle in traffic.

MarShawn Lloyd keeps his feet moving to push for more yards at the end of this play. That trait could help him earn goal-line carries and boost his dynasty value.

Neither USC nor South Carolina utilized Lloyd as a goal-line pounder, but he shows the ability on film. At worst, Lloyd should fall into a David Montgomery type of role where his size and feet can produce TDs.

There's a Fumbling Problem

The most glaring issue for Lloyd is the lack of technique in how he holds the football. The classic “high and tight” mentality is lost on him.

In the clip below, Lloyd rushes with his arm flailing between high and low in a loose motion. As he goes for the big play, the defense keys in on separating the ball from Lloyd’s hand.

MarShawn Lloyd fumbles against UCLA. If he doesn't fix that issue, it could scuttle his dynasty value.

The lack of technique focus is apparent in other game areas as well. Lloyd drops easy passes. His pad level gets higher as the game goes on. 

All of these issues are correctable, but the bad habits can permeate and ruin an NFL career quickly. If Lloyd gets benched for these focus and technique issues, he won’t be helping your fantasy team.

Can He Be a 3-down RB?

The biggest knock on Lloyd is his lack of receiving throughout college. He was used as a swing option only, often allowing Spencer Rattler or Caleb Williams to check down.

Despite his athletic profile, Lloyd may fit more into the traditional between-the-tackles role and lack the pass-catching.

Now, we have to determine if Lloyd has the hidden talents to be a complete NFL RB despite his lack of production in some areas.

       

MarShawn Lloyd Team Fit: Green Bay Packers

The situation in Green Bay is less than ideal for Lloyd to find playing time. The Packers invested big money in Josh Jacobs this offseason and brought back perennial backup AJ Dillon, who is experienced in the scheme.

It also is not the best scheme fit for Lloyd, who lacks the receiving upside to earn passing-down work. The Packers heavy use of a zone blocking scheme may also be a struggle for Lloyd, who doesn’t exhibit the patience for a one-cut offense.

While Lloyd’s skillset offers hope, he landed in one of the worst situations and fits. 

       

Dynasty Value Conclusion

Lloyd’s dynamic traits fit the modern NFL RB mold. His athletic ability creates a high ceiling and indicates potential to outperform his draft position.

Unfortunately, being drafted by the Packers was bad news for Lloyd’s value. Not only is he backing up highly paid Josh Jacobs, but the scheme fit is less than ideal.

If Lloyd’s lack of focus causes fumbles or dropped passes, he will quickly lose any playing time.

The situation makes Lloyd a bench flier at best. 

A Glimmer of Hope 

Despite signing Jacobs to a four-year contract, the Packers do have an out in his contract after one year. If Lloyd shows promise, this could be a cheaper direction for the Packers in 2025.

For this season, it will be good news if Lloyd can beat out AJ Dillon in camp and secure the backup spot at the very least.

See where Lloyd is going in current startup dynasty ADP -- and best ball ADP.

       

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Shane Hallam Author Image
Shane Hallam, Writer
Shane has over 20 years of experience creating content and playing every fantasy football format including redraft, dynasty, devy, IDP, and more. He is a multi-year winner of $500 dynasty leagues on the FFPC and utilizes deep film and scheme study to enhance his fantasy performance.
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