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Isiah Pacheco - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsIsiah Pacheco’s Basic Stats

Isiah Pacheco
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 3
Age: 25.7
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 216
40 Time: 4.37

SPARQx (Rank): 133.90 (96%)
Burst Score (Rank): 115.10 (32%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.36 (56%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.09

Isiah Pacheco's Weekly Outlook

Week 12 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup
HC Andy Reid said this week that Pacheco’s status will be evaluated “day by day.” Even if active, he projects for a limited workload coming off a fractured fibula.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
62.2 0.4 2 13.1 0.1 10.4

Isiah Pacheco's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#34 Running Back

118 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 133.7 574.5 4.08 2.8 0.8 19.8 132.1 0.77

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsIsiah Pacheco's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Pacheco ranked 14th among RBs in PPR and non-PPR points per game last year. He was even better in seven games without RB Jerick McKinnon, posting a scoring average that would have ranked third at his position.

McKinnon remains unsigned as of now, leaving Clyde Edwards-Helaire as Kansas City’s No. 2 RB – and giving Pacheco legitimate RB1 upside in a high-scoring Chiefs offense.

Durability is a concern, but Pacheco is a value anywhere in Round 3 or beyond.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Pacheco ranked 14th among RBs in both PPR and non-PPR points per game last year.
  • He missed Weeks 14 and 15 with a shoulder injury and was held out of a meaningless regular-season finale.
  • In his 14 games, Pacheco averaged:
    • 14.6 carries
    • 66.8 rushing yards
    • 3.5 targets
    • 3.1 catches
    • 17.4 receiving yards
    • 0.6 TDs
  • He was even busier and more productive in seven games (including 3 playoff games) without RB Jerick McKinnon. In those, Pacheco averaged:
    • 17.9 carries
    • 82.1 rushing yards
    • 3.7 targets
    • 3.6 catches
    • 15.6 receiving yards
    • 1.1 TDs
  • His 20.2 PPR points per game in those outings would have ranked third among RBs on the season.
  • Pacheco’s usage equated to 18.8 expected PPR points per game, which would have ranked sixth at his position.
  • Pacheco was effective as a runner last year. Among 49 RBs with 90+ carries, he ranked:
    • 17th in yards after contact per attempt
    • 27th in missed tackles forced per attempt
    • 8th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
    • 10th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
  • Pacheco ranked just 29th in yards per route run among 43 RBs with 30+ targets but ranked 11th in PFF receiving grade.
  • Pacheco emerged over the second half of his 2022 rookie season, ranking 13th league-wide in carries and fifth in rushing yards.
  • His 4.7 yards per carry over the last two years ranks 12th among 49 RBs with 200+ carries during that span.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Jerick McKinnon remains unsigned as of now, giving Pacheco a RB1-level ceiling similar to what we saw in his seven games without McKinnon last year.
  • The Chiefs’ RB depth chart behind Pacheco:
    • Clyde Edwards-Helaire
    • Deneric Prince
    • Louis Rees-Zammit
    • Keaontay Ingram
  • The Chiefs have typically ranked in the top half of the league in total RB PPR points under HC Andy Reid and QB Patrick Mahomes:
    • 2018 - 5th
    • 2019 - 16th
    • 2020 - 25th
    • 2021 - 15th
    • 2022 - 5th
    • 2023 - 11th
  • The 2023 Chiefs ranked 20th in Adjusted Line Yards and 18th in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grades
  • They return four of five starters on the offensive line, opting to not re-sign LT Donovan Smith, who ranked 67th among 70 qualifying OTs in Pro Football Focus’ 2023 pass-blocking grades. He’ll be replaced by either 2023 third-round pick Wanya Morris or 2024 second-rounder Kingsley Suamataia.
  • The biggest concern with Pacheco is durability.
    • He underwent surgeries on his hand and shoulder shortly after the 2022 season.
    • He re-injured that shoulder last year, had a clean-up procedure, and missed two games.
    • Pacheco also suffered a concussion in Week 16, although he was cleared for Week 17.
    • Our Injury Predictor gives him a 90.4% chance of injury this season and 3.40 projected games missed – both second most among RBs.

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Isiah Pacheco, RB KC

17 hours ago

Isiah Pacheco Won't Play Week 12

Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (leg) won't play against the Panthers on Sunday. Pacheco has been back at practice for a couple of weeks now, but Kansas City will hold him out for at least one more game. That'll keep RB Kareem Hunt in a workhorse role in a dream spot with the Chiefs 10.5-point favorites against Carolina's 32nd-ranked RB defense.

View all Isiah Pacheco Shark Bites »

Chiefs HC Andy Reid wouldn't say Wednesday whether RB Isiah Pacheco (leg) will play against the Panthers this weekend, calling it a "day by day type thing." Pacheco returned to practice last week, getting in three limited sessions. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport said Sunday morning that Pacheco will be healthy enough to play Week 12 but that the team could opt to hold him out as a precaution. We'll keep you updated on the situation. Kareem Hunt would be a top-12 RB play if Pacheco remains out this weekend.

View all Isiah Pacheco Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport confirms that Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (leg) is expected to be healthy enough to play in Week 12. But Rapoport adds, "maybe trainers hold him out just as a precaution." Kansas City gets the Panthers next week -- a game they likely feel like they can handle without Pacheco. We'll keep an eye on the situation this coming week. RB Kareem Hunt has handled big volume lately but is averaging just 3.6 yards per carry. We're expecting Pacheco to eventually take back over as the Chiefs' clear lead RB.

View all Isiah Pacheco Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (leg) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Bills. He returned to practice this week for the first time since going down in mid-September and should have a chance to play vs. the Panthers next week. RB Kareem Hunt gets another game as Kansas City’s workhorse this weekend.

View all Isiah Pacheco Shark Bites »

Chiefs HC Andy Reid said Wednesday that RB Isiah Pacheco (leg) is unlikely to play vs. the Bills this weekend. Pacheco will return to practice this week but needs to ramp up after missing the last two months. We're tentatively expecting him back for Week 12's game vs. the Panthers. RB Kareem Hunt gets at least one more week as Kansas City's workhorse.

View all Isiah Pacheco Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Isiah Pacheco, RB KC
Dynasty MVP 36.3
Position Rank #13 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
354
515
777
Dynasty Write-up
Following offseason shoulder surgery, Pacheco excelled again in 2023. Despite two missed games (shoulder), the second-year back tallied 1,179 total yards and 9 TDs. Pacheco is poised to handle a lead-back role again in 2024.
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