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Zay Flowers - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsZay Flowers's Basic Stats

Zay Flowers
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 1
Age: 24.1
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 182
40 Time: 4.42

Burst Score (Rank): 123.90 (64%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.86 (25%)

Zay Flowers's Weekly Outlook

Week 9 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5 59.2 0.3 8.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.2 59.8 0.3 8.5

Zay Flowers's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#20 Wide Receiver

232.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 88.3 1008.5 5.56 1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsZay Flowers's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Flowers finished 32nd among WRs in PPR points per game as a rookie. He’s going a reasonable 30th at the position in Underdog Fantasy ADP so far this year. And Baltimore has done nothing to challenge the outlook for a second-year WR who got immediately involved after arriving as a first-round pick. Flowers looks like a solid pick across formats.

What We Learned Last Year

  • The Ravens got their first-round WR heavily involved quickly. Flowers drew 10 targets in his first game and finished the year 21st among all WRs in target share.
    • That share got no significant padding from Mark Andrews’ injury.
    • From Week 2 through Week 10 (with Andrews), Flowers drew 23% target share.
    • From Week 11 (when Andrews went down) on: 23.5%.
  • Baltimore increased its pass rate after switching from OC Greg Roman to Todd Monken. They climbed from 12th in neutral pass rate in 2022 to seventh last year. But they still tied for just 30th in total pass attempts.
    • That put Flowers tied for 26th among WRs in total targets.
    • He also ranked:
      • 22nd in receptions
      • 33rd in receiving yards
      • tied for 28th in TD catches
  • The Ravens favored shorter routes for Flowers. His 9.1-yard aDOT for the season tied for 77th among 96 WRs who drew at least 40 targets, according to PFF. Those aDOTs did vary by game, at least, showing the team’s willingness to target Flowers at all levels of the field.
  • Flowers’ yards per route ranked 38th among that same group of 96; sixth among rookie WRs behind:
    • Puka Nacua 2.75
    • Tank Dell 2.22
    • Rashee Rice 2.21
    • Jayden Reed 1.95
    • Dontayvion Wicks 1.94

What to Expect in 2024

  • Flowers at least looks locked in as the lead WR and could lead the team in targets. TE Mark Andrews drew 23.4% target share over his nine healthy outings last season. Flowers went 23% over the same span.
  • The Ravens added no worrisome challengers for targets, with fourth-round rookie WR Devontez Walker looking like the most significant addition.
  • His 71.3% catch rate in 2023 was high for the position but ranked just 15th among WRs with 30+ targets. Teammate Nelson Agholor ranked even higher, and QB Lamar Jackson is coming off a career-best adjusted completion rate. So we buy Flowers at least coming close to repeating this rate.
  • There’s room for his aDOT to grow. Flowers posted a career 13.0-yard aDOT in college, with no single-season mark shorter than 10.4. And he ranked just sixth among Ravens WRs in aDOT in 2023.
    • The shorter range of his targets in 2023 points to the team trying to get him the ball. But a deeper average target would likely grow his yards per catch and increase big-play potential.
  • There’s room for passing volume to grow even with Derrick Henry’s arrival. Baltimore tied for just 30th in the league in pass attempts last season but climbed from 12th to seventh in neutral pass rate. Lamar Jackson finished with a career high in scrambles, according to PFF.

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Diontae Johnson, WR BAL

9 hours ago

Diontae Johnson The No. 3 WR In Baltimore?

Insider Josina Anderson hears that the Ravens plan on making Diontae Johnson the No. 3 WR behind Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman.

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Ravens WR Zay Flowers missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday and entered Sunday’s game questionable with an ankle. He was active against Cleveland, though, and delivered 7 grabs for 115 yards in an upset loss.

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Ravens WR Zay Flowers (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Browns. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, so it’s safe to assume he won’t be at 100% for this one. See where Flowers sits in the Week 8 WR Rankings.

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Ravens WR Zay Flowers (ankle) is expected to play vs. the Browns today, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport is a little more pessimistic, writing that Flowers "will have a pre-game workout to determine his status." We'll get Baltimore's inactives around 11:30 am ET. Flowers clearly won't be at 100% if he does give it a go today.

View all Zay Flowers Shark Bites »

Ravens WR Zay Flowers (ankle) is questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Browns. He only got in a limited practice on Friday. Flowers played through this injury in last Monday night’s win over the Bucs, though, so we’re projecting him to play against Cleveland. We’ll get Baltimore’s inactives around 11:30 am ET on Sunday.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Zay Flowers, WR BAL
Dynasty MVP 36.8
Position Rank #32 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
327
541
968
Dynasty Write-up
A productive four-year player at Boston College, Flowers earned Round 1 draft capital in April of 2023. While undersized, his dynamic traits immediately upgraded Baltimore's WR corps. Flowers will likely remain a 100-target player in the immediate future.
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