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Garrett Wilson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsGarrett Wilson’s Basic Stats

Garrett Wilson
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 183
40 Time: 4.38

Burst Score (Rank): 122.70 (57%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.01 (53%)

Garrett Wilson's Weekly Outlook

Week 16 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.4 69.2 0.42 9.3
Weekly Writeup
Davante Adams had the big Week 15, but Wilson posted a 3-56-1 line of his own. He's scored 14+ PPR points in two straight games and four of his last seven. Most importantly, he's averaged 8.3 targets per game over that span. Wilson is a rock-solid WR2 in Sunday's game vs. the Rams' 24th-ranked WR defense.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.3 69.6 0.4 9.6

Garrett Wilson's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#6 Wide Receiver

255.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 94.1 1157.4 7.31 0.1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsGarrett Wilson's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Wilson’s tallied 2,145 yards over his first two seasons. Since 1990, only 17 WRs have exceeded that yardage across years one and two.

So Wilson’s enjoyed a strong start – despite lousy QB play. That figures to change in 2024, as long as Aaron Rodgers stays on the field.

Rodgers’ health adds a layer of fragility to Wilson’s fantasy outlook. But the upside here makes the investment worthwhile – provided you can land him near the 1-2 turn or beyond.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Wilson lost Aaron Rodgers to a Week 1 Achilles tear. Surprisingly, it didn’t torpedo his season.
    • The former Round 1 pick finished as the WR24 in PPR.
    • He simply lacked a high-end ceiling, scoring only 3 times while catching balls from Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian, and Tim Boyle.
    • Wilson cracked the top 10 in a given week only once (Week 14 vs. Houston).
  • Wilson was a true target-earner.
    • He saw 168 targets -- 4th most in the league.
    • He led the NFL in percentage of his team’s air yards (44.8%)
    • Wilson ranked T-5th among 153 qualifers in ESPN's Open Score. Essentially, he excelled as a pure separator.
  • Given the awful QB play, Wilson’s efficiency metrics weren’t great.
    • He posted just 11 yards per catch, 3.4 yards after catch per reception, and 1.55 yards per route run -- all steps down from his '22 production.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Aaron Rodgers is on track to begin the season at 100%
    • Clearly, he’s an upgrade from what Wilson played with in 2023.
    • Still, in 2022, Rodgers fell below career averages in yards per attempt (6.8), completion rate (64.6%), and yards per game (217).
  • Wilson’s volume will remain strong.
    • New York added Mike Williams and Round 3 WR Malachi Corley to the WR corps this offseason.
    • Williams’ effectiveness is questionable after a Week 3 ACL tear last fall.
    • Corley brings a feisty run-after-catch skill set but doesn’t project for a sizable target share.
  • The 2023 Jets, despite QB issues, ranked 5th in pass rate; 13th in pass rate over expected. Look for their pass-centric ways to remain following the return of Rodgers and OC Nathaniel Hackett.

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Aaron Rodgers, QB NYJ

9:40pm EST 12/8/24

Aaron Rodgers Solid in Loss to Miami

Jets QB Aaron Rodgers had one of his best games of the season in today’s loss to the Dolphins, throwing for 339 yards, one TD, and 0 INTs. Sunday marked his first game over 300 yards since December 12, 2021.

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Jets WRs Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson each caught five passes in Sunday's loss to the Seahawks. Adams led the team, though, in targets (12) and receiving yards (66), and caught one of two Aaron Rodgers TD passes. Wilson drew 10 targets and tallied 41 yards.

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The Athletic's Dianna Russini hears that it's "increasingly likely" that Jets QB Aaron Rodgers will be placed on IR or benched over the next few weeks. Russini adds that "no decisions have been made yet." But it's become clear over the last month that Rodgers has no future with the Jets beyond 2024, so it wouldn't be shocking to see the team pull the plug early.

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Jets WR Garrett Wilson was targeted eight times but only caught four passes for 18 yards in the Jets loss to the Colts. WR Davante Adams caught six of seven targets for 72 yards however.

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The Jets offense struggled mightily as a whole, but WR Davante Adams' 13 targets led the team. He only was able to bring in six for 31 yards. Teammate Garrett Wilson only caught five of six targets for 41 yards while RB Breece Hall had 83 total yards in the game and no scores.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Garrett Wilson, WR NYJ
Dynasty MVP 66
Position Rank #8 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
670
1,102
2,108
Dynasty Write-up
Considering the issues at QB, you have to consider Wilson's second season (95-1,042-3) a success. He's set to get Aaron Rodgers back in 2024, but he's obviously not the long-term solution.
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