Tony Pollard's 2024 Projections & Outlook
Scoring
#14 Running Back
224.5 Projected Points
ADP |
Rush Atts |
Rush Yds |
Rush TDs |
100 |
Fum |
Rec |
Rec Yds |
Rec TDs |
Not Available |
252.8 |
1080.2 |
5.7 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
46.5 |
307.4 |
1.43 |
DS 3D Projections
Bottom Line
Pollard didn’t live up to expectations in Dallas last year.
Being paid as a top-ten NFL RB should force the Titans' hand to give him every chance to succeed.
Joe Mixon showed how a RB in the Brian Callahan offense can be utilized in a variety of ways, so Pollard has that same potential.
With Tyjae Spears as a superior receiving option at RB, Pollard will be a TD-dependent RB2 whose volume will be his best asset.
What We Learned Last Year
- Pollards’ 1,005 rushing yards ranked 12th among RBs. His 55 catches ranked eighth.
- He did not miss any games due to injury.
- Pollard ranked as the PPR RB14 in total fantasy points and the RB23 in points per game.
- He finished RB12 or better four times. He recorded four games between RB13 and RB24.
- He ranked 15th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 50.0%.
- He played 71% of the Cowboys offensive snaps last season.
- His per-game averages for the season were above his career averages:
- 14.8 carries (9.65)
- 59.1 rushing yards (45.8)
- 0.35 rushing TDs (0.29)
- 3.94 targets (2.89)
- 3.24 catches (2.23)
- 18.3 receiving yards (16.7)
- 0.00 receiving TDs (0.06)
- Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, Pollard ranked:
- Ninth in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
- 36th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
- 34th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
- His receiving metrics raise some red flags. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, Pollard ranked:
- 40th in PFF receiving grade
- 36th in yards per route run
What to Expect in 2024
- Pollard signed with the Titans on a three-year deal worth $24 million with $10.49 million guaranteed. His $7.25 million per year ranks ninth among RBs.
- Pollard enters his first season on the Titans under HC and play caller Brian Callahan and OC Nick Holz
- The Titans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are fourth in highest win total in the AFC South at 6.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
- They also are tied for 27th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +15000 on most sportsbooks.
- Pollard enters his sixth season at 27 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Pollard’s career and profile will produce 85-95% of peak value at age-27.
- New teammate Tyjae Spears beat Pollard last year in:
- Rush yards after contact per attempt
- PFF Elusive Rating
- Rush yards over expected per attempt
- PFF receiving grade
- Yards per route run