Off-the-cuff opinions from random guys on the internet are not the best foundation for creating Non-PPR rookie Rankings. You wouldn’t buy a house with a cracked or leaking basement, would you? No! The foundation for anything is critical.
At Draft Sharks, our Dynasty Rankings are based on data—a lot of it. We start with a player's baseline, a weighted average of this year’s projection, and their last two seasons. Then we use 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year fantasy forecasted output. This isn't guesswork. Our process has been built using machine learning for all NFL data since 1999. We determine this output using scientifically-sound performance aging curves and retirement rates. And these numbers are specific to both positional groups and archetypes of players. These are the smartest fantasy football projections on the market. Period.
3D values+ then apply a weighted average of those 1-,3-,5- and 10-year projections and a cross-positional algorithm based on your exact league setup and scoring. The results are an unparalleled single (true) value you can use universally on the site. That means you can use these values for ranking in the preseason, regular season, and trade valuations.
Ready to go for the gold? In the Draft War Room you can adjust the weighting even heavier toward year-one projection in "Win Now" mode.
| Player | ADP | Bye | Age | 1yr Proj | 3yr Proj | 5yr Proj | 10yr Proj | 3D Value+ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 1.01 | 10 | 21.4 | 237.8 | 701 | 1170 | 2146 | 92 | Jeanty went from a 1,900 total yard sophomore season to a 2,700 total yard junior season. He boasts elite contact balance, burst, and receiving ability. Jeanty’s landing spot in Vegas should support some massive workloads over the next few seasons. | ||
| 2 |  | 1.02 | 5 | 22.2 | 173.9 | 502 | 790 | 1343 | 48 | Hampton has carried the North Carolina offense for two years (including when Drake Maye was the QB). The former four-star recruit tallied two straight years of 1,500+ rushing yards and 15 TDs, and he brings solid receiving potential. A shifty runner who can hit the home run, Hampton showed his athleticism by crushing the Combine with a 4.48 40-yard dash and a 38" vertical. He landed in a dreamy long-term spot with HC Jim Harbaugh and the... Show More » | ||
| 3 |  | 1.04 | 11 | 22.1 | 147.8 | 418 | 708 | 1380 | 47 | At Arizona, McMillan tallied two straight years of 1,300+ yards and 8+ TDs. He brings a clear X WR skill set at 6’5, 212 pounds. He supplies some deep speed but still has the footwork and route tree to freeze defenders. With long arms and a good catch radius, McMillan boasts tremendous fantasy upside. The Carolina landing spot supplies a path to WR1 targets within a couple of seasons. | ||
| 4 |  | 1.03 | 12 | 22.0 | 139.2 | 415 | 707 | 1405 | 46 | Hunter showed elite receiver ability last year, catching 96 passes for 1,258 yards and 15 TDs while also playing full-time on defense. The Heisman winner is a smooth mover with excellent hands and body control. Jacksonville traded up to secure Hunter, who's fully expected to play on both sides of the ball. Most importantly, Hunter will have a sizable role on offense. We’ll keep a close eye on his deployment alongside Brian Thomas Jr. this... Show More » | ||
| 5 |  | 1.06 | 10 | 21.5 | 177.8 | 456 | 720 | 1241 | 41 | Judkins has a chance to become a three-down back for the Browns immediately as a rookie. Though Jerome Ford will still have a role, the early second-round draft capital makes Judkins intriguing. Judkins answered questions about his athleticism with a 4.48 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine and tied for second among RBs with a 1.52 10-yard split. | ||
| 6 |  | 1.05 | 14 | 22.6 | 164.6 | 438 | 702 | 1198 | 37 | Henderson was highly recruited and is insanely explosive when given space. He also shows elite receiving ability but doesn't break through contact. Henderson may be more of a third-down receiving back in the NFL. He ran as expected at the Combine with a 4.43 40-yard dash and tied for second among RBs with a 1.52 10-yard split. | ||
| 7 |  | 1.08 | 14 | 23.0 | 92.3 | 304 | 512 | 986 | 33 | In 2024, Warren was the Nittany Lions’ leading receiver with 104 catches for 1,233 yards and 8 TDs. He has a massive 6’6, 261-pound frame with the typical Penn State top-tier athleticism. Add in monster in-line blocking, and Warren projects as an impact rookie for the Colts. QB play might cap his short-term ceiling, though. Indy will roll into the season with Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones. | ||
| 8 |  | 1.10 | 7 | 21.1 | 81.4 | 305 | 508 | 1016 | 33 | Loveland had an injury-filled 2024, dealing with a shoulder and another undisclosed injury. With Michigan’s offensive issues, Loveland was still their leading receiver with 56 catches for 582 yards and five TDs. His awareness and quick feet make him dangerous against zone coverage, reminiscent of Travis Kelce. We like Loveland’s landing spot alongside QB Caleb Williams and HC Ben Johnson. Note that the Bears can move on from Cole Kmet’s contract... Show More » | ||
| 9 |  | 1.07 | 11 | 22.6 | 92.5 | 338 | 596 | 1185 | 31 | Egbuka went back for his senior year to chase a National Championship and caught 70 passes for 896 yards and 10 TDs. He is an ideal NFL slot WR with a quick first step and clean routes to turn slants and drags into big gains. While the Round 1 draft capital was nice, the Bucs don’t supply a clear landing spot for meaningful short-term targets. Mike Evans returns for 2025, while Chris Godwin (ankle) is expected to be ready for Week 1. Note that... Show More » | ||
| 10 |  | 1.12 | 10 | 21.8 | 99.8 | 335 | 566 | 1105 | 29 | Golden was a surprising four-star commit to Houston, where he showcased deep threat talent. Moving to Texas this past season unleashed his potential with 58 catches for 987 yards and 9 TDs. He was also the fastest WR at the NFL Combine with a 4.29 40-yard dash. Green Bay saw enough to select him in Round 1, and they’ve already talked up his speed, hands, and versatility. He should make a Year 1 fantasy impact – especially with Christian Watson... Show More » | ||
| 11 |  | 1.09 | 9 | 21.7 | 156.2 | 393 | 642 | 987 | 29 | Johnson fits the Steelers as a hard nosed between the tackles runner with great contact balance and power. He should immediately fill the Najee Harris role and split with Jaylen Warren. If Johnson shows three-down ability, he could become the lead back as a rookie. | ||
| 12 | | 2.01 | 7 | 21.4 | 100.1 | 310 | 529 | 1047 | 26 | Burden joins a stacked Bears team with DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, and Colston Loveland. But if there is a HC who can scheme touches for him, it is Ben Johnson. His ability in the screen and short passing game could make him a weapon, though he may struggle to produce consistent fantasy numbers early in his career. | ||
| 13 |  | 2.04 | 14 | 22.4 | 103.2 | 310 | 525 | 1010 | 25 | Higgins should start opposite Nico Collins in the Texans offense with Christian Kirk playing the slot. His size (6’4, 212 pounds) gives him Higgins turned heads at the Senior Bowl and NFL Combine, where he ran a 4.47 40-yard dash along with a 39" Vertical and 10'8 Broad Jump. | ||
| 14 | | 2.02 | 5 | 23.2 | 93.8 | 306 | 510 | 947 | 24 | Harris joins a unit desperate for talent outside of Ladd McConkey. His size, production and downfield speed makes Harris a great deep threat for QB Justin Herbert. He should be locked into a starting spot with a good QB, but HC Jim Harbaugh will always want a run first offense. | ||
| 15 |  | 1.11 | 14 | 24.3 | 156.4 | 384 | 579 | 763 | 24 | Harvey was a surprise second round pick, but two straight years of 1,400 rushing yards and good receiving skills could make him the “Alvin Kamara” of Sean Payton’s offense. He likely won’t immediately be a three-down back, but there is long term upside to get there for a Broncos team that likes to run. | ||
| 16 | | 7.01 | 14 | 22.5 | 86 | 283 | 479 | 921 | 21 | Williams is an elite deep threat who was added to one of the worst WR groups in the league. He should find an immediate role, though may be limited to deep shots and big plays. Being paired with Drake Maye is a great landing spot. As only a Round 3 NFL Draft pick, he isn’t guaranteed playing time, but the situation is good enough for him to be on the back end of dynasty rosters. | ||
| 17 | | 2.06 | 10 | 23.2 | 93.3 | 290 | 483 | 898 | 21 | Bech joins a Raiders WR group that was among the worst in the league. His sharp route running and great hands make him an immediate impact slot player, perhaps with Ladd McConkey type of upside. He should be the third receiving option behind Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers. | ||
| 18 | | 2.07 | 14 | 22.7 | 64.9 | 286 | 483 | 960 | 21 | Noel was drafted to join college teammate Jayden Higgins. He played primarily in the slot at Iowa State, but showed some outside ability at the Senior Bowl. Likely to start as the back-up to Christian Kirk, Noel could develop into a starting role by his second year. | ||
| 19 |  | 2.08 | 12 | 21.0 | 70 | 234 | 423 | 884 | 20 | Taylor should slide into the starting role for the Jets immediately, potentially as the number two option after Garrett Wilson. His soft hands and red zone ability give Taylor a solid floor alongside QB Justin Fields. | ||
| 20 |  | 2.11 | 10 | 22.1 | 59.2 | 237 | 429 | 848 | 19 | Arroyo joined an open situation in Seattle, which needs playmakers after trading D.K. Metcalf and releasing Tyler Lockett. His athleticism should make him a target hog for the Seahawks and new QB Sam Darnold. Arroyo has a bright long-term outlook with weekly TE1 upside. | ||
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